TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120136
Played Sep 13Finished
Grzegorz Adamiak
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113116911117711
Slawomir Dosz
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:54 and never touched — 70.1% is still 70.1%
Graded at full timeSlawomir Dosz to win
70.1%
70.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Adamiak above · Slawomir Dosz below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 97 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Slawomir Dosz at 70.1%
97 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Adamiak 4–19 Slawomir Dosz Grzegorz Adamiak has won 4 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:54What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Dosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-19 in 23
Dosz
Correct
gap of 15 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamiak 1718 vs Dosz 1842
Dosz
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamiak 0% vs Dosz 20%
Dosz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamiak 30% vs Dosz 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamiak -5 · Dosz -2
Adamiak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Dosz) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamiak 3.00 / Dosz 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Dosz)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13120136
Adamiak3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 66 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back14% 21 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 96
Dosz1.36
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite46% won 12 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamiak2wins
AwayDosz8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDosz leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamiakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDosz77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamiak1Dosz9n = 10Dosz took 9 of 10
S2Adamiak6Dosz4n = 10Adamiak took 6 of 10
S3Adamiak2Dosz8n = 10Dosz took 8 of 10
S4Adamiak2Dosz4n = 6Dosz took 4 of 6
S5Adamiak2Dosz3n = 5Dosz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamiakDoszA − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match34.538.7−4.2per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamiakDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 770 vs 65 / 14943.5%43.6%335 / 770 vs 65 / 149Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.836.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszAdamiak 3.00/Dosz 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 06:55G. Adamiak49111191172S. Dosz48136117113
LSep 12 · 11:15G. Adamiak4412118762S. Dosz511081111113
LSep 12 · 04:10G. Adamiak4061111482S. Dosz40112511113
LOct 5 · 10:25G. Adamiak239590S. Dosz331111113
LOct 4 · 15:10G. Adamiak236980S. Dosz331111113
LSep 14 · 15:10G. Adamiak218670S. Dosz331111113
LSep 14 · 06:15G. Adamiak239860S. Dosz331111113
WSep 13 · 14:30G. Adamiak46711611113S. Dosz4511611982
WSep 13 · 06:15G. Adamiak47611118113S. Dosz3311621132
LJun 1 · 13:15G. Adamiak29911181S. Dosz3811511113
G. Adamiak10
LSep 13 · 05:40G. Adamiak3.0069111172A. Dosz1.36111176113LSep 13 · 04:10G. Adamiak2.75115741A. Witkowski1.4071111113LSep 13 · 03:00G. Adamiak3.758830K. Petas1.251111113LSep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz1.4011118113G. Adamiak2.75951151LSep 12 · 13:20K. Petas1.251111113G. Adamiak3.754570LSep 12 · 11:15S. Dosz1.331081111113G. Adamiak3.2512118762WSep 12 · 10:25A. Witkowski1.40871111102G. Adamiak2.75111143123WSep 12 · 09:00J. Braun1.531110791G. Adamiak2.3891211113WSep 12 · 07:45G. Adamiak3.5091111113K. Petas1.28115671LSep 12 · 06:30G. Adamiak2.382580J. Braun1.531111113
S. Dosz10
LSep 13 · 06:05S. Dosz1.919101381J. Zandecki1.80111211113LSep 13 · 04:30S. Dosz2.008660K. Petas1.731111113WSep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz1.80121161172S. Dosz1.91149119113LSep 12 · 13:45S. Dosz2.251178111A. Witkowski1.5791111133LSep 12 · 12:30S. Dosz1.9141171192A. Dosz1.80118119113WSep 12 · 11:15S. Dosz1.331081111113G. Adamiak3.2512118762LSep 12 · 10:00J. Braun2.0011119113S. Dosz1.73771151LSep 12 · 09:20S. Dosz1.9178111352K. Petas1.801111811113LSep 12 · 08:30S. Dosz2.63541161A. Witkowski1.4411118113LSep 12 · 06:55S. Dosz1.91127991K. Petas1.80101111113
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