TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119935
Played Sep 13Finished
Slawomir Dosz
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91110121311811––
Jan Zandecki
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:07 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSlawomir Dosz above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 85 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Zandecki at 63.3%
85 points played in total.
H2H Slawomir Dosz 4–8 Jan Zandecki Slawomir Dosz has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zandecki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Zandecki
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1834 vs Zandecki 1936
Zandecki
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 40% vs Zandecki 60%
Zandecki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 20% vs Zandecki 50%
Zandecki
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz -1 · Zandecki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zandecki) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 1.91 / Zandecki 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Zandecki)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13119935
Dosz1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 18 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Zandecki1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 106 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it79% 75 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz3wins
AwayZandecki7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz100%3 of 3
AwayZandecki100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S2Dosz4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S3Dosz3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S4Dosz2Zandecki4n = 6Zandecki took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszZandeckiD − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.138.0−4.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 148 vs 463 / 83543.2%55.5%64 / 148 vs 463 / 835Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiDosz 1.91/Zandecki 1.80
Hit
What we said
55.5%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zandecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 06:05S. Dosz409101381J. Zandecki45111211113
LAug 17 · 07:40S. Dosz3811101161J. Zandecki4413128113
LJun 1 · 12:00S. Dosz236980J. Zandecki331111113
WJun 1 · 05:25S. Dosz331111113J. Zandecki249780
WMay 30 · 14:05S. Dosz46117511123J. Zandecki49911118102
LMay 30 · 05:50S. Dosz31711761J. Zandecki4111811113
LMay 7 · 12:50S. Dosz209470J. Zandecki331111113
LMay 7 · 05:25S. Dosz3710116101J. Zandecki4212711123
WApr 16 · 12:00S. Dosz3811115113J. Zandecki33951181
LApr 16 · 05:25S. Dosz25101140J. Zandecki361213113
S. Dosz10
LSep 13 · 04:30S. Dosz2.008660K. Petas1.731111113WSep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz1.80121161172S. Dosz1.91149119113LSep 12 · 13:45S. Dosz2.251178111A. Witkowski1.5791111133LSep 12 · 12:30S. Dosz1.9141171192A. Dosz1.80118119113WSep 12 · 11:15S. Dosz1.331081111113G. Adamiak3.2512118762LSep 12 · 10:00J. Braun2.0011119113S. Dosz1.73771151LSep 12 · 09:20S. Dosz1.9178111352K. Petas1.801111811113LSep 12 · 08:30S. Dosz2.63541161A. Witkowski1.4411118113LSep 12 · 06:55S. Dosz1.91127991K. Petas1.80101111113LSep 12 · 05:40S. Dosz1.804420J. Braun1.911111113
J. Zandecki10
LSep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.6181111113J. Zandecki2.20115861WSep 13 · 03:25A. Witkowski1.576121151J. Zandecki2.2511149113WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WAug 25 · 14:10K. Strowski3.2511101191J. Zandecki1.3313127113LAug 25 · 13:20K. Petas2.001117113J. Zandecki1.7381570WAug 25 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.8311116862J. Zandecki1.83781111113WAug 25 · 10:25A. Wiecek2.106880J. Zandecki1.671111113LAug 25 · 09:00M. Olejnik1.441111133J. Zandecki2.6374110LAug 25 · 08:05M. Olejnik1.441111143J. Zandecki2.6354120LAug 25 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.731111113J. Zandecki2.007880
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