TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119813
Played Sep 13Finished
Antoni Witkowski
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811117113119––
Adam Dosz
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAntoni Witkowski above · Adam Dosz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 71 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Adam Dosz at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Antoni Witkowski 10–7 Adam Dosz Adam Dosz has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:35What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Witkowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witkowski 1899 vs Dosz 1948
Dosz
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witkowski 80% vs Dosz 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witkowski 60% vs Dosz 80%
Dosz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Witkowski +2 · Dosz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dosz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitkowski 1.91 / Dosz 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dosz)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13119813
Witkowski1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 17 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back22% 5 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Dosz1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 76 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it88% 50 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWitkowski6wins
AwayDosz4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWitkowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitkowski75%3 of 4
AwayDosz50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witkowski4Dosz6n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S2Witkowski6Dosz4n = 10Witkowski took 6 of 10
S3Witkowski7Dosz3n = 10Witkowski took 7 of 10
S4Witkowski5Dosz4n = 9Witkowski took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWitkowskiDoszW − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.238.3+1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitkowskiDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime225 / 384 vs 184 / 31658.6%58.2%225 / 384 vs 184 / 316Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszWitkowski 1.91/Dosz 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Witkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:30A. Witkowski4181111113A. Dosz30117391
LSep 12 · 09:40A. Witkowski4011711111A. Dosz4513118133
LSep 12 · 07:20A. Witkowski4611711892A. Dosz49711911113
WMay 3 · 11:10A. Witkowski4071111113A. Dosz32116781
WMay 3 · 06:40A. Witkowski501011711113A. Dosz4712811972
WMay 2 · 14:05A. Witkowski4111118113A. Dosz34981161
LMay 2 · 05:50A. Witkowski358611101A. Dosz4011116123
LMar 20 · 15:05A. Witkowski35951561A. Dosz46111113113
WMar 20 · 05:50A. Witkowski4011117113A. Dosz35871191
WFeb 20 · 15:30A. Witkowski341111123A. Dosz2569100
A. Witkowski10
WSep 13 · 05:15A. Witkowski1.83111011113K. Petas1.83812781WSep 13 · 04:10G. Adamiak2.75115741A. Witkowski1.4071111113LSep 13 · 03:25A. Witkowski1.576121151J. Zandecki2.2511149113WSep 12 · 13:45S. Dosz2.251178111A. Witkowski1.5791111133WSep 12 · 12:55J. Braun2.2089111182A. Witkowski1.61111169113WSep 12 · 12:05A. Witkowski1.6711118113K. Petas2.10891111LSep 12 · 10:25A. Witkowski1.40871111102G. Adamiak2.75111143123LSep 12 · 09:40A. Dosz1.5313118133A. Witkowski2.3811711111WSep 12 · 08:30S. Dosz2.63541161A. Witkowski1.4411118113LSep 12 · 07:20A. Witkowski2.2511711892A. Dosz1.57711911113
A. Dosz10
WSep 13 · 05:40G. Adamiak3.0069111172A. Dosz1.36111176113WSep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.6181111113J. Zandecki2.20115861LSep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz1.80121161172S. Dosz1.91149119113WSep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz1.4011118113G. Adamiak2.75951151WSep 12 · 12:30S. Dosz1.9141171192A. Dosz1.80118119113WSep 12 · 11:40J. Braun2.7583130A. Dosz1.401111153WSep 12 · 10:50A. Dosz1.5311119113K. Petas2.38981171WSep 12 · 09:40A. Dosz1.5313118133A. Witkowski2.3811711111LSep 12 · 08:05J. Braun2.631111113A. Dosz1.449730WSep 12 · 07:20A. Witkowski2.2511711892A. Dosz1.57711911113
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