TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119932
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Zandecki
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111171151315511
Kacper Petas
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Zandecki above · Kacper Petas below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 98 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Jan Zandecki at 59.3%
98 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zandecki 39–30 Kacper Petas Kacper Petas has won 30 of their 69 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Zandecki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-30 in 69
Zandecki
Wrong
gap of 9 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zandecki 1924 vs Petas 1895
Zandecki
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zandecki 60% vs Petas 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zandecki 50% vs Petas 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zandecki +1 · Petas -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zandecki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petas form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZandecki 1.57 / Petas 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Zandecki)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13119932
Zandecki1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 106 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it79% 75 of 95
Petas2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 115 of 259
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZandecki5wins
AwayPetas5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZandecki60%3 of 5
AwayPetas60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zandecki5Petas5n = 10split evenly
S2Zandecki5Petas5n = 10split evenly
S3Zandecki6Petas4n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S4Zandecki3Petas4n = 7Petas took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZandeckiPetasZ − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.837.7+2.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZandeckiPetasBasisWin rate · lifetime462 / 835 vs 707 / 133355.3%53%462 / 835 vs 707 / 1333Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiZandecki 1.57/Petas 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Petas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 07:20J. Zandecki49911111352K. Petas49117515113
LAug 25 · 13:20J. Zandecki3081570K. Petas391117113
WAug 25 · 05:15J. Zandecki4011711113K. Petas27711271
LAug 20 · 10:00J. Zandecki366911101K. Petas3911115123
WAug 20 · 05:40J. Zandecki351111133K. Petas2586110
WAug 15 · 05:15J. Zandecki45121111113K. Petas34145691
LJul 30 · 03:00J. Zandecki33118591K. Petas4071111113
WJul 26 · 12:30J. Zandecki578111611113K. Petas5511818992
WJul 26 · 08:30J. Zandecki331111113K. Petas227960
LJun 29 · 09:20J. Zandecki401361291K. Petas47111114113
J. Zandecki10
WSep 13 · 06:05S. Dosz1.919101381J. Zandecki1.80111211113LSep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.6181111113J. Zandecki2.20115861WSep 13 · 03:25A. Witkowski1.576121151J. Zandecki2.2511149113WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WAug 25 · 14:10K. Strowski3.2511101191J. Zandecki1.3313127113LAug 25 · 13:20K. Petas2.001117113J. Zandecki1.7381570WAug 25 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.8311116862J. Zandecki1.83781111113WAug 25 · 10:25A. Wiecek2.106880J. Zandecki1.671111113LAug 25 · 09:00M. Olejnik1.441111133J. Zandecki2.6374110LAug 25 · 08:05M. Olejnik1.441111143J. Zandecki2.6354120
K. Petas10
LSep 13 · 05:15A. Witkowski1.83111011113K. Petas1.83812781WSep 13 · 04:30S. Dosz2.008660K. Petas1.731111113WSep 13 · 03:00G. Adamiak3.758830K. Petas1.251111113LSep 12 · 14:35J. Braun2.101111113K. Petas1.675820WSep 12 · 13:20K. Petas1.251111113G. Adamiak3.754570LSep 12 · 12:05A. Witkowski1.6711118113K. Petas2.10891111LSep 12 · 10:50A. Dosz1.5311119113K. Petas2.38981171WSep 12 · 09:20S. Dosz1.9178111352K. Petas1.801111811113LSep 12 · 07:45G. Adamiak3.5091111113K. Petas1.28115671WAug 25 · 13:20K. Petas2.001117113J. Zandecki1.7381570
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