TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119844
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Zandecki
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116911117711118
Slawomir Dosz
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:43 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Zandecki above · Slawomir Dosz below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jan Zandecki at 54.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zandecki 8–4 Slawomir Dosz Slawomir Dosz has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Zandecki beat Dosz 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 11:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zandecki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-4 in 12
Zandecki
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zandecki 1917 vs Dosz 1825
Zandecki
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zandecki 40% vs Dosz 20%
Zandecki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zandecki 60% vs Dosz 30%
Zandecki
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zandecki -1 · Dosz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zandecki) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZandecki 1.80 / Dosz 1.91
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Zandecki)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13119844
Zandecki1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 106 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it79% 75 of 95
Dosz1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 18 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZandecki7wins
AwayDosz3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZandecki100%7 of 7
AwayDosz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zandecki7Dosz3n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S2Zandecki6Dosz4n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S3Zandecki7Dosz3n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S4Zandecki4Dosz2n = 6Zandecki took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZandeckiDoszZ − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.033.1+4.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZandeckiDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime461 / 835 vs 65 / 15155.2%43.1%461 / 835 vs 65 / 151Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiZandecki 1.80/Dosz 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zandecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:05J. Zandecki45111211113S. Dosz409101381
WAug 17 · 07:40J. Zandecki4413128113S. Dosz3811101161
WJun 1 · 12:00J. Zandecki331111113S. Dosz236980
LJun 1 · 05:25J. Zandecki249780S. Dosz331111113
LMay 30 · 14:05J. Zandecki49911118102S. Dosz46117511123
WMay 30 · 05:50J. Zandecki4111811113S. Dosz31711761
WMay 7 · 12:50J. Zandecki331111113S. Dosz209470
WMay 7 · 05:25J. Zandecki4212711123S. Dosz3710116101
LApr 16 · 12:00J. Zandecki33951181S. Dosz3811115113
WApr 16 · 05:25J. Zandecki361213113S. Dosz25101140
J. Zandecki10
WSep 13 · 11:40A. Dosz1.80111281092J. Zandecki1.917101112113LSep 13 · 09:40J. Zandecki1.9111781192M. Jadczyk1.80511117113WSep 13 · 08:30G. Adamiak2.50661121J. Zandecki1.5011119113LSep 13 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.57911111352K. Petas2.25117515113WSep 13 · 06:05S. Dosz1.919101381J. Zandecki1.80111211113LSep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.6181111113J. Zandecki2.20115861WSep 13 · 03:25A. Witkowski1.576121151J. Zandecki2.2511149113WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WAug 25 · 14:10K. Strowski3.2511101191J. Zandecki1.3313127113LAug 25 · 13:20K. Petas2.001117113J. Zandecki1.7381570
S. Dosz10
LSep 13 · 09:20G. Adamiak3.008111211113S. Dosz1.3611914692LSep 13 · 07:45A. Witkowski1.5711511113S. Dosz2.25911961WSep 13 · 06:55G. Adamiak3.00111191172S. Dosz1.36136117113LSep 13 · 06:05S. Dosz1.919101381J. Zandecki1.80111211113LSep 13 · 04:30S. Dosz2.008660K. Petas1.731111113WSep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz1.80121161172S. Dosz1.91149119113LSep 12 · 13:45S. Dosz2.251178111A. Witkowski1.5791111133LSep 12 · 12:30S. Dosz1.9141171192A. Dosz1.80118119113WSep 12 · 11:15S. Dosz1.331081111113G. Adamiak3.2512118762LSep 12 · 10:00J. Braun2.0011119113S. Dosz1.73771151
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