TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119936
Played Sep 13Finished
Antoni Witkowski
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119511119116––
Slawomir Dosz
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:06 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeAntoni Witkowski to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAntoni Witkowski above · Slawomir Dosz below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Antoni Witkowski at 60.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Antoni Witkowski 13–4 Slawomir Dosz Slawomir Dosz has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:06What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Witkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-4 in 17
Witkowski
Correct
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witkowski 1909 vs Dosz 1832
Witkowski
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witkowski 80% vs Dosz 40%
Witkowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witkowski 70% vs Dosz 30%
Witkowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Witkowski +3 · Dosz +1
Witkowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Witkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitkowski 1.57 / Dosz 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Witkowski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13119936
Witkowski1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 79 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it97% 38 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it87% 54 of 62
Dosz2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 18 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWitkowski7wins
AwayDosz3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWitkowski leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitkowski80%4 of 5
AwayDosz40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witkowski5Dosz5n = 10split evenly
S2Witkowski7Dosz3n = 10Witkowski took 7 of 10
S3Witkowski5Dosz5n = 10split evenly
S4Witkowski5Dosz2n = 7Witkowski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWitkowskiDoszW − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.534.4+4.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitkowskiDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 385 vs 65 / 15058.7%43.3%226 / 385 vs 65 / 150Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitkowskiWitkowski 1.57/Dosz 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Witkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Witkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 07:45A. Witkowski3811511113S. Dosz35911961
WSep 12 · 13:45A. Witkowski4491111133S. Dosz371178111
WSep 12 · 08:30A. Witkowski4111118113S. Dosz26541161
LMay 3 · 09:10A. Witkowski2651290S. Dosz361114113
LMay 2 · 10:00A. Witkowski301010100S. Dosz361212123
WMay 2 · 05:25A. Witkowski4291111113S. Dosz34118871
LMay 1 · 14:50A. Witkowski4311125692S. Dosz452101111113
WMay 1 · 09:35A. Witkowski4391112113S. Dosz311141061
WApr 15 · 12:25A. Witkowski341111123S. Dosz2183100
WApr 15 · 04:00A. Witkowski44111174113S. Dosz4396111162
A. Witkowski10
WSep 13 · 06:30A. Witkowski1.9181111113A. Dosz1.80117391WSep 13 · 05:15A. Witkowski1.83111011113K. Petas1.83812781WSep 13 · 04:10G. Adamiak2.75115741A. Witkowski1.4071111113LSep 13 · 03:25A. Witkowski1.576121151J. Zandecki2.2511149113WSep 12 · 13:45S. Dosz2.251178111A. Witkowski1.5791111133WSep 12 · 12:55J. Braun2.2089111182A. Witkowski1.61111169113WSep 12 · 12:05A. Witkowski1.6711118113K. Petas2.10891111LSep 12 · 10:25A. Witkowski1.40871111102G. Adamiak2.75111143123LSep 12 · 09:40A. Dosz1.5313118133A. Witkowski2.3811711111WSep 12 · 08:30S. Dosz2.63541161A. Witkowski1.4411118113
S. Dosz10
WSep 13 · 06:55G. Adamiak3.00111191172S. Dosz1.36136117113LSep 13 · 06:05S. Dosz1.919101381J. Zandecki1.80111211113LSep 13 · 04:30S. Dosz2.008660K. Petas1.731111113WSep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz1.80121161172S. Dosz1.91149119113LSep 12 · 13:45S. Dosz2.251178111A. Witkowski1.5791111133LSep 12 · 12:30S. Dosz1.9141171192A. Dosz1.80118119113WSep 12 · 11:15S. Dosz1.331081111113G. Adamiak3.2512118762LSep 12 · 10:00J. Braun2.0011119113S. Dosz1.73771151LSep 12 · 09:20S. Dosz1.9178111352K. Petas1.801111811113LSep 12 · 08:30S. Dosz2.63541161A. Witkowski1.4411118113
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