TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119677
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Zandecki
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115711811117911
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Zandecki above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jan Zandecki at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zandecki 31–35 Marcin Jadczyk Jan Zandecki has won 31 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:53What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jadczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-35 in 66
Jadczyk
Correct
gap of 4 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zandecki 1930 vs Jadczyk 1871
Zandecki
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zandecki 60% vs Jadczyk 40%
Zandecki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zandecki 60% vs Jadczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zandecki +1 · Jadczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZandecki 1.91 / Jadczyk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jadczyk)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13119677
Zandecki1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 64 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Jadczyk1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 405 of 637
Up 2–0, closes it98% 202 of 206
Up 1–0, closes it83% 317 of 381
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZandecki6wins
AwayJadczyk4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZandecki71.4%5 of 7
AwayJadczyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zandecki7Jadczyk3n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S2Zandecki5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Zandecki7Jadczyk3n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S4Zandecki4Jadczyk6n = 10Jadczyk took 6 of 10
S5Zandecki2Jadczyk3n = 5Jadczyk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZandeckiJadczykZ − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.540.8−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZandeckiJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 836 vs 986 / 168255.4%58.6%463 / 836 vs 986 / 1682Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykZandecki 1.91/Jadczyk 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jadczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 04:30J. Zandecki45111148113M. Jadczyk4488111162
LAug 24 · 06:05J. Zandecki4481111772M. Jadczyk44114711113
WAug 21 · 06:05J. Zandecki3811411123M. Jadczyk388119101
WAug 20 · 12:55J. Zandecki3811511113M. Jadczyk34811781
WAug 20 · 03:45J. Zandecki3911116113M. Jadczyk31761171
LAug 14 · 10:50J. Zandecki367118101M. Jadczyk4011611123
LAug 14 · 06:55J. Zandecki4011412672M. Jadczyk496111011113
LAug 6 · 10:25J. Zandecki4111811562M. Jadczyk49811811113
WAug 5 · 12:05J. Zandecki4111712113M. Jadczyk345111081
WJul 31 · 06:55J. Zandecki43511115113M. Jadczyk4511981162
J. Zandecki10
WSep 13 · 08:30G. Adamiak2.50661121J. Zandecki1.5011119113LSep 13 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.57911111352K. Petas2.25117515113WSep 13 · 06:05S. Dosz1.919101381J. Zandecki1.80111211113LSep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.6181111113J. Zandecki2.20115861WSep 13 · 03:25A. Witkowski1.576121151J. Zandecki2.2511149113WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WAug 25 · 14:10K. Strowski3.2511101191J. Zandecki1.3313127113LAug 25 · 13:20K. Petas2.001117113J. Zandecki1.7381570WAug 25 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.8311116862J. Zandecki1.83781111113WAug 25 · 10:25A. Wiecek2.106880J. Zandecki1.671111113
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 13 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.67111011872K. Petas2.10812911113WSep 11 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz1.9111881272M. Jadczyk1.807111110113LSep 11 · 14:10K. Strowski2.7511112113M. Jadczyk1.40961181LSep 11 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.4491111862K. Wloczko2.63119911113WSep 11 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.40911913113K. Kolodziej2.75118111152LSep 11 · 10:50M. Olejnik2.00111111113M. Jadczyk1.73961351WSep 11 · 07:45G. Poliniewicz4.501511771M. Jadczyk1.1717911113WSep 11 · 06:55M. Miastowski2.0010111181M. Jadczyk1.7312135113LSep 11 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.0091080M. Olejnik1.731112113WSep 11 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.6711115113J. Kuzmicz2.10691171
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