TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120120
Played Sep 13Finished
Grzegorz Adamiak
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611114119116––
Jan Zandecki
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:55 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingGrzegorz Adamiak above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 69 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jan Zandecki at 63.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Adamiak 13–23 Jan Zandecki Grzegorz Adamiak has won 13 of their 36 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Zandecki beat Adamiak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zandecki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-23 in 36
Zandecki
Wrong
gap of 10 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamiak 1708 vs Zandecki 1904
Zandecki
Wrong
both rated, 195 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamiak 40% vs Zandecki 60%
Zandecki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamiak 20% vs Zandecki 60%
Zandecki
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamiak -1 · Zandecki +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Zandecki) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamiak 2.63 / Zandecki 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Zandecki)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13120120
Adamiak2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog29% won 66 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back14% 21 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 96
Zandecki1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 106 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it79% 75 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamiak3wins
AwayZandecki7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamiak25%1 of 4
AwayZandecki66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamiak4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S2Adamiak3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S3Adamiak5Zandecki5n = 10split evenly
S4Adamiak5Zandecki4n = 9Adamiak took 5 of 9
S5Adamiak1Zandecki3n = 4Zandecki took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamiakZandeckiA − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.940.2−5.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamiakZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 774 vs 463 / 83543.5%55.5%337 / 774 vs 463 / 835Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiAdamiak 2.63/Zandecki 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.1%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 08:30G. Adamiak25661121J. Zandecki4211119113
LMay 9 · 10:00G. Adamiak272311111J. Zandecki4211117133
LMay 9 · 09:10G. Adamiak4011771142J. Zandecki43611114113
LApr 18 · 12:50G. Adamiak2046100J. Zandecki341111123
LApr 18 · 09:10G. Adamiak3711341182J. Zandecki531111119113
WMar 29 · 07:40G. Adamiak44381111113J. Zandecki3411115432
WFeb 15 · 13:25G. Adamiak3711114113J. Zandecki28761141
LFeb 15 · 06:05G. Adamiak4211811572J. Zandecki47911511113
LJan 18 · 12:35G. Adamiak28112781J. Zandecki4181111113
WJan 18 · 09:25G. Adamiak49111116113J. Zandecki381381431
G. Adamiak10
LSep 13 · 11:15G. Adamiak3.7510840K. Petas1.251211113WSep 13 · 10:00A. Dosz1.36116101182G. Adamiak3.00611127113WSep 13 · 09:20G. Adamiak3.008111211113S. Dosz1.3611914692LSep 13 · 08:30G. Adamiak2.50661121J. Zandecki1.5011119113LSep 13 · 06:55G. Adamiak3.00111191172S. Dosz1.36136117113LSep 13 · 05:40G. Adamiak3.0069111172A. Dosz1.36111176113LSep 13 · 04:10G. Adamiak2.75115741A. Witkowski1.4071111113LSep 13 · 03:00G. Adamiak3.758830K. Petas1.251111113LSep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz1.4011118113G. Adamiak2.75951151LSep 12 · 13:20K. Petas1.251111113G. Adamiak3.754570
J. Zandecki10
WSep 13 · 11:40A. Dosz1.80111281092J. Zandecki1.917101112113WSep 13 · 10:50J. Zandecki1.80119117113S. Dosz1.9161171182LSep 13 · 09:40J. Zandecki1.9111781192M. Jadczyk1.80511117113WSep 13 · 08:30G. Adamiak2.50661121J. Zandecki1.5011119113LSep 13 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.57911111352K. Petas2.25117515113WSep 13 · 06:05S. Dosz1.919101381J. Zandecki1.80111211113LSep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.6181111113J. Zandecki2.20115861WSep 13 · 03:25A. Witkowski1.576121151J. Zandecki2.2511149113WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WAug 25 · 14:10K. Strowski3.2511101191J. Zandecki1.3313127113
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