TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139883
Played Sep 17Finished
Jan Zandecki
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8119111012––––
Artur Grela
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Grela to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Zandecki above · Artur Grela below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 61 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Artur Grela at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zandecki 33–39 Artur Grela Jan Zandecki has won 33 of their 72 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:00What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Grela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-39 in 72
Grela
Correct
gap of 6 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zandecki 1902 vs Grela 1942
Grela
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zandecki 80% vs Grela 60%
Zandecki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zandecki 60% vs Grela 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zandecki +2 · Grela +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Grela)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zandecki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZandecki 1.83 / Grela 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Grela)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13139883
Zandecki1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Grela1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZandecki5wins
AwayGrela5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZandeckin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayGrela50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zandecki2Grela8n = 10Grela took 8 of 10
S2Zandecki5Grela5n = 10split evenly
S3Zandecki8Grela2n = 10Zandecki took 8 of 10
S4Zandecki5Grela5n = 10split evenly
S5Zandecki2Grela2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZandeckiGrelaZ − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.237.5+2.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZandeckiGrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 837 vs 634 / 124855.6%50.8%465 / 837 vs 634 / 1248Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrelaZandecki 1.83/Grela 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Grela · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Grela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 15:00J. Zandecki30116761A. Grela4181111113
WAug 21 · 08:30J. Zandecki4071111113A. Grela27116461
LAug 20 · 14:35J. Zandecki4368111172A. Grela47111159113
LAug 20 · 06:30J. Zandecki409131171A. Grela4311156113
LAug 15 · 03:25J. Zandecki4251171182A. Grela43115115113
WAug 14 · 12:05J. Zandecki46311129113A. Grela47117101182
WAug 14 · 04:10J. Zandecki4071111113A. Grela27117631
WAug 6 · 11:15J. Zandecki46711116113A. Grela3911741162
WAug 6 · 03:00J. Zandecki4111811113A. Grela24311641
LAug 5 · 14:35J. Zandecki34971171A. Grela3711114113
J. Zandecki10
WSep 17 · 03:45J. Zandecki1.8311114113M. Jadczyk1.83571161WSep 13 · 14:10J. Zandecki1.61111189113K. Petas2.2058111152LSep 13 · 12:30G. Adamiak2.6361111113J. Zandecki1.44114961WSep 13 · 11:40A. Dosz1.80111281092J. Zandecki1.917101112113WSep 13 · 10:50J. Zandecki1.80119117113S. Dosz1.9161171182LSep 13 · 09:40J. Zandecki1.9111781192M. Jadczyk1.80511117113WSep 13 · 08:30G. Adamiak2.50661121J. Zandecki1.5011119113LSep 13 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.57911111352K. Petas2.25117515113WSep 13 · 06:05S. Dosz1.919101381J. Zandecki1.80111211113LSep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.6181111113J. Zandecki2.20115861
A. Grela10
WSep 17 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.57141050A. Grela2.251612113LSep 10 · 13:45A. Grela1.80411741M. Jadczyk1.9111411113WSep 10 · 12:30A. Grela1.831171011113D. Michna1.8351112962WSep 10 · 11:15A. Grela1.831211510113G. Felkel1.83107111272LSep 10 · 10:00K. Wloczko2.38113119113A. Grela1.5371181172WSep 10 · 09:20A. Grela1.4411116113K. Kolodziej2.63981151WSep 10 · 08:35A. Grela1.671211113D. Michna2.1010990LSep 10 · 07:00A. Grela1.8371111672M. Jadczyk1.83114811113WSep 10 · 05:50A. Grela1.8311114113M. Miastowski1.83291161WSep 10 · 04:00A. Grela1.53131111113K. Wloczko2.38159941
Upcoming Matches
J. Zandecki
Sep 17 · 06:30J. Zandecki2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 17 · 08:05J. Zandecki2.10G. Felkel1.67—Sep 17 · 09:00J. Zandecki2.10G. Felkel1.67—Sep 17 · 10:00J. Zandecki2.20P. David1.61—Sep 17 · 11:40J. Zandecki1.50K. Wloczko2.50—Sep 17 · 12:55J. Zandecki1.83A. Grela1.83—Sep 17 · 14:35J. Zandecki2.00J. Kosowski1.73—
A. Grela
Sep 17 · 06:05A. Grela1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—Sep 17 · 07:20A. Grela2.00G. Felkel1.73—Sep 17 · 08:30A. Grela2.25P. David1.57—Sep 17 · 09:40A. Grela1.50K. Wloczko2.50—Sep 17 · 10:25A. Grela2.00G. Felkel1.73—Sep 17 · 12:05A. Grela2.25J. Kosowski1.57—Sep 17 · 12:55A. Grela1.83J. Zandecki1.83—Sep 17 · 13:45A. Grela2.25P. David1.57—
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