TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139899
Played Sep 17Finished
Jan Zandecki
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115117411116––
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Zandecki above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 66 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jan Zandecki at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zandecki 31–35 Marcin Jadczyk Jan Zandecki has won 31 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:00What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jadczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-35 in 66
Jadczyk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zandecki 1894 vs Jadczyk 1860
Zandecki
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zandecki 60% vs Jadczyk 40%
Zandecki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zandecki 60% vs Jadczyk 40%
Zandecki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zandecki +1 · Jadczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zandecki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZandecki 1.83 / Jadczyk 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zandecki)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13139899
Zandecki1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Jadczyk1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZandecki6wins
AwayJadczyk4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZandecki71.4%5 of 7
AwayJadczyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zandecki7Jadczyk3n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S2Zandecki5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Zandecki7Jadczyk3n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S4Zandecki4Jadczyk6n = 10Jadczyk took 6 of 10
S5Zandecki2Jadczyk3n = 5Jadczyk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZandeckiJadczykZ − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.540.8−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZandeckiJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime464 / 835 vs 988 / 168955.6%58.5%464 / 835 vs 988 / 1689Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiZandecki 1.83/Jadczyk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zandecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 04:30J. Zandecki45111148113M. Jadczyk4488111162
LAug 24 · 06:05J. Zandecki4481111772M. Jadczyk44114711113
WAug 21 · 06:05J. Zandecki3811411123M. Jadczyk388119101
WAug 20 · 12:55J. Zandecki3811511113M. Jadczyk34811781
WAug 20 · 03:45J. Zandecki3911116113M. Jadczyk31761171
LAug 14 · 10:50J. Zandecki367118101M. Jadczyk4011611123
LAug 14 · 06:55J. Zandecki4011412672M. Jadczyk496111011113
LAug 6 · 10:25J. Zandecki4111811562M. Jadczyk49811811113
WAug 5 · 12:05J. Zandecki4111712113M. Jadczyk345111081
WJul 31 · 06:55J. Zandecki43511115113M. Jadczyk4511981162
J. Zandecki10
LSep 17 · 04:55J. Zandecki1.8389100A. Grela1.831111123WSep 13 · 14:10J. Zandecki1.61111189113K. Petas2.2058111152LSep 13 · 12:30G. Adamiak2.6361111113J. Zandecki1.44114961WSep 13 · 11:40A. Dosz1.80111281092J. Zandecki1.917101112113WSep 13 · 10:50J. Zandecki1.80119117113S. Dosz1.9161171182LSep 13 · 09:40J. Zandecki1.9111781192M. Jadczyk1.80511117113WSep 13 · 08:30G. Adamiak2.50661121J. Zandecki1.5011119113LSep 13 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.57911111352K. Petas2.25117515113WSep 13 · 06:05S. Dosz1.919101381J. Zandecki1.80111211113LSep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.6181111113J. Zandecki2.20115861
M. Jadczyk10
WSep 17 · 04:30M. Jadczyk2.001111113G. Felkel1.738760LSep 16 · 13:45M. Miastowski2.00791111113M. Jadczyk1.7311119562WSep 16 · 12:55G. Felkel1.83791141M. Jadczyk1.8311115113WSep 16 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.5381111113K. Wloczko2.38117771LSep 16 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.57117101172J. Kuzmicz2.25411126113LSep 16 · 09:40P. David1.571011117113M. Jadczyk2.2512871192WSep 16 · 07:45K. Wloczko2.50413641M. Jadczyk1.50111111113LSep 16 · 06:55M. Miastowski2.0012911123M. Jadczyk1.7310115101WSep 16 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.001711113P. David1.7315870WSep 13 · 09:40J. Zandecki1.9111781192M. Jadczyk1.80511117113
Upcoming Matches
J. Zandecki
Sep 17 · 05:40J. Zandecki2.20P. David1.61—Sep 17 · 06:30J. Zandecki2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 17 · 08:05J. Zandecki2.10G. Felkel1.67—Sep 17 · 09:00J. Zandecki2.10G. Felkel1.67—Sep 17 · 10:00J. Zandecki2.20P. David1.61—Sep 17 · 11:40J. Zandecki1.50K. Wloczko2.50—Sep 17 · 12:55J. Zandecki1.83A. Grela1.83—Sep 17 · 14:35J. Zandecki2.00J. Kosowski1.73—
M. Jadczyk
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