TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13135093
Played Sep 16Finished
Marcin Jadczyk
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1147111012116711
Jakub Kuzmicz
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:37 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarcin Jadczyk above · Jakub Kuzmicz below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 54.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Marcin Jadczyk 4–6 Jakub Kuzmicz Marcin Jadczyk has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:37What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jadczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Kuzmicz
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadczyk 1898 vs Kuzmicz 1841
Jadczyk
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadczyk 40% vs Kuzmicz 80%
Kuzmicz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadczyk 50% vs Kuzmicz 70%
Kuzmicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadczyk -1 · Kuzmicz +3
Kuzmicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jadczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmicz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadczyk 1.57 / Kuzmicz 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Jadczyk)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13135093
Jadczyk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 409 of 642
Up 2–0, closes it98% 202 of 207
Up 1–0, closes it83% 320 of 385
Kuzmicz2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog51% won 113 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back31% 32 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadczyk4wins
AwayKuzmicz6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKuzmicz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadczyk57.1%4 of 7
AwayKuzmicz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadczyk7Kuzmicz3n = 10Jadczyk took 7 of 10
S2Jadczyk3Kuzmicz7n = 10Kuzmicz took 7 of 10
S3Jadczyk4Kuzmicz6n = 10Kuzmicz took 6 of 10
S4Jadczyk4Kuzmicz5n = 9Kuzmicz took 5 of 9
S5Jadczyk1Kuzmicz2n = 3Kuzmicz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadczykKuzmiczJ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.739.4−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadczykKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime990 / 1690 vs 684 / 118358.6%57.8%990 / 1690 vs 684 / 1183Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.840.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykJadczyk 1.57/Kuzmicz 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 06:55M. Jadczyk34691181J. Kuzmicz3611113113
LAug 16 · 04:30M. Jadczyk29114771J. Kuzmicz4181111113
WAug 10 · 06:05M. Jadczyk4013511113J. Kuzmicz361111591
WJul 27 · 10:25M. Jadczyk4011711113J. Kuzmicz27411571
LJul 27 · 04:30M. Jadczyk4451211882J. Kuzmicz511110811113
LJul 26 · 10:25M. Jadczyk29116571J. Kuzmicz4071111113
WJul 26 · 04:30M. Jadczyk4011117113J. Kuzmicz33691171
LJul 9 · 13:45M. Jadczyk2610790J. Kuzmicz341211113
WApr 16 · 07:55M. Jadczyk511210711113J. Kuzmicz45101211572
LMar 10 · 08:55M. Jadczyk4411118772J. Kuzmicz51991111113
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 16 · 09:40P. David1.571011117113M. Jadczyk2.2512871192WSep 16 · 07:45K. Wloczko2.50413641M. Jadczyk1.50111111113LSep 16 · 06:55M. Miastowski2.0012911123M. Jadczyk1.7310115101WSep 16 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.001711113P. David1.7315870LSep 16 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.731091181J. Kuzmicz2.0012115113LSep 16 · 03:45G. Felkel1.83111189113M. Jadczyk1.8387111112LSep 15 · 13:45A. Wiecek2.2011119113M. Jadczyk1.61991181WSep 15 · 12:55M. Olejnik2.00811651M. Jadczyk1.7311611113WSep 15 · 12:05M. Jadczyk2.00111158113T. Spanik1.7388111152WSep 15 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.5711711113J. Braun2.25711281
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 16 · 11:15M. Miastowski1.8011841192J. Kuzmicz1.91911119113WSep 16 · 09:00G. Felkel1.4431011141J. Kuzmicz2.6311129163WSep 16 · 08:05G. Felkel1.33411981J. Kuzmicz3.2511811113WSep 16 · 07:20P. David1.2512770J. Kuzmicz3.751411113LSep 16 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.731111113J. Kuzmicz2.006670WSep 16 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.731091181J. Kuzmicz2.0012115113LSep 16 · 03:00M. Miastowski1.73101111113J. Kuzmicz2.00124961LSep 14 · 08:05L. Jarocki2.16911811113J. Kuzmicz1.5711611792WSep 14 · 07:15K. Glazowski1.95101011121J. Kuzmicz1.7512127143WSep 14 · 05:15A. Sobel3.709590J. Kuzmicz1.221111113
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