TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139918
Played Sep 17Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
14161012511––––
Artur Grela
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:00 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Artur Grela below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 68 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 57.1%
68 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 76–52 Artur Grela Artur Grela has won 52 of their 128 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:00What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kosowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
76-52 in 128
Kosowski
Wrong
gap of 24 in 128, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1920 vs Grela 1915
Kosowski
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 40% vs Grela 60%
Grela
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 30% vs Grela 60%
Grela
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski -1 · Grela -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kosowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grela form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.57 / Grela 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kosowski)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13139918
Kosowski1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 270 of 403
Up 2–0, closes it95% 130 of 137
Up 1–0, closes it86% 212 of 247
Grela2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 107 of 233
Down 0–1, comes back32% 43 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosowski7wins
AwayGrela3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKosowski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosowski83.3%5 of 6
AwayGrela50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski6Grela4n = 10Kosowski took 6 of 10
S2Kosowski6Grela4n = 10Kosowski took 6 of 10
S3Kosowski6Grela4n = 10Kosowski took 6 of 10
S4Kosowski4Grela4n = 8split evenly
S5Kosowski3Grela1n = 4Kosowski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosowskiGrelaK − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.140.0+2.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiGrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime738 / 1251 vs 633 / 124759%50.8%738 / 1251 vs 633 / 1247Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiKosowski 1.57/Grela 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.1%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Grela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 12:30J. Kosowski419121191A. Grela45111013113
WAug 6 · 08:30J. Kosowski46115613113A. Grela49811111182
WAug 5 · 09:00J. Kosowski4061211113A. Grela301110721
WAug 5 · 06:30J. Kosowski331111113A. Grela216870
WAug 1 · 13:20J. Kosowski521113710113A. Grela47611111272
WAug 1 · 05:15J. Kosowski4471311133A. Grela4011117111
LJul 14 · 14:10J. Kosowski4659111382A. Grela471111311113
WJul 14 · 07:20J. Kosowski501531110113A. Grela52131191272
WJun 15 · 10:00J. Kosowski341211113A. Grela2310490
LJun 15 · 06:55J. Kosowski35156861A. Grela46131111113
J. Kosowski10
LSep 17 · 04:10P. David1.8071111113J. Kosowski1.91117971LSep 8 · 13:45J. Kosowski2.2044111282M. Olejnik1.611111410113WSep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.361211113K. Wloczko3.0010980LSep 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.3311711142K. Kolodziej3.25911911113LSep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.201111113J. Kosowski1.619850WSep 8 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.6712611133A. Wiecek2.1010118111WSep 8 · 08:30J. Kosowski2.101211143M. Olejnik1.67105120LSep 8 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.739131191T. Spanik2.0011154113LSep 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.677121191A. Wiecek2.1011146113LSep 8 · 04:10J. Kosowski2.3881151182J. Folwarski1.53115119113
A. Grela10
WSep 17 · 04:55J. Zandecki1.8389100A. Grela1.831111123LSep 10 · 13:45A. Grela1.80411741M. Jadczyk1.9111411113WSep 10 · 12:30A. Grela1.831171011113D. Michna1.8351112962WSep 10 · 11:15A. Grela1.831211510113G. Felkel1.83107111272LSep 10 · 10:00K. Wloczko2.38113119113A. Grela1.5371181172WSep 10 · 09:20A. Grela1.4411116113K. Kolodziej2.63981151WSep 10 · 08:35A. Grela1.671211113D. Michna2.1010990LSep 10 · 07:00A. Grela1.8371111672M. Jadczyk1.83114811113WSep 10 · 05:50A. Grela1.8311114113M. Miastowski1.83291161WSep 10 · 04:00A. Grela1.53131111113K. Wloczko2.38159941
Upcoming Matches
J. Kosowski
Sep 17 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.73J. Zandecki2.00—Sep 17 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.83M. Jadczyk1.80—Sep 17 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.91P. David1.80—Sep 17 · 10:50J. Kosowski1.50K. Wloczko2.50—Sep 17 · 12:05J. Kosowski1.50A. Grela2.50—Sep 17 · 13:20J. Kosowski1.83G. Felkel1.83—Sep 17 · 14:35J. Kosowski1.73J. Zandecki2.00—
A. Grela
Sep 17 · 06:05A. Grela1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—Sep 17 · 07:20A. Grela2.00G. Felkel1.73—Sep 17 · 08:30A. Grela2.25P. David1.57—Sep 17 · 09:40A. Grela1.50K. Wloczko2.50—Sep 17 · 10:25A. Grela2.00G. Felkel1.73—Sep 17 · 12:05A. Grela2.50J. Kosowski1.50—Sep 17 · 12:55A. Grela1.83J. Zandecki1.83—Sep 17 · 13:45A. Grela2.25P. David1.57—
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