TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139904
Played Sep 17Finished
Petr David
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711117119117––
Jakub Kosowski
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr David above · Jakub Kosowski below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Petr David at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 46–39 Jakub Kosowski Jakub Kosowski has won 39 of their 85 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:00What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
David
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-39 in 85
David
Correct
gap of 7 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1970 vs Kosowski 1895
David
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 60% vs Kosowski 20%
David
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 60% vs Kosowski 30%
David
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
David +1 · Kosowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans David)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.80 / Kosowski 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (David)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13139904
David1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 229 of 341
Up 2–0, closes it97% 118 of 122
Up 1–0, closes it83% 172 of 208
Kosowski1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 31 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid6wins
AwayKosowski4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid66.7%2 of 3
AwayKosowski42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David3Kosowski7n = 10Kosowski took 7 of 10
S2David7Kosowski3n = 10David took 7 of 10
S3David6Kosowski4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S4David4Kosowski4n = 8split evenly
S5David2Kosowski1n = 3David took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidKosowskiD − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.938.5+2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidKosowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime651 / 988 vs 722 / 122465.9%59%651 / 988 vs 722 / 1224Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.80/Kosowski 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 04:10P. David4071111113J. Kosowski34117971
WSep 8 · 03:00P. David47711711113J. Kosowski3811611642
WSep 7 · 14:35P. David361111143J. Kosowski2897120
LSep 7 · 06:30P. David29101090J. Kosowski351212113
WAug 5 · 11:15P. David4071111113J. Kosowski33119761
LAug 5 · 04:10P. David348101151J. Kosowski4011126113
WAug 2 · 13:45P. David49811118113J. Kosowski4211571182
WAug 2 · 08:30P. David4111118113J. Kosowski32671181
LAug 1 · 14:35P. David521551111102J. Kosowski561311713123
LAug 1 · 06:30P. David418117151J. Kosowski4711811173
P. David10
WSep 17 · 03:00P. David1.619111111113G. Felkel2.2011481392LSep 16 · 14:10P. David1.2010880J. Kuzmicz4.331211113WSep 16 · 12:30M. Miastowski3.0051191362P. David1.361171111113WSep 16 · 11:40G. Felkel2.2011370P. David1.611311113LSep 16 · 10:50P. David1.25911891K. Wloczko3.7511911113WSep 16 · 09:40P. David1.571011117113M. Jadczyk2.2512871192WSep 16 · 08:30M. Miastowski3.25411761P. David1.3311911113LSep 16 · 07:20P. David1.2512770J. Kuzmicz3.751411113LSep 16 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.001711113P. David1.7315870WSep 16 · 04:55G. Felkel2.50411681P. David1.5011511113
J. Kosowski10
LSep 17 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.57141050A. Grela2.251612113LSep 8 · 13:45J. Kosowski2.2044111282M. Olejnik1.611111410113WSep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.361211113K. Wloczko3.0010980LSep 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.3311711142K. Kolodziej3.25911911113LSep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.201111113J. Kosowski1.619850WSep 8 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.6712611133A. Wiecek2.1010118111WSep 8 · 08:30J. Kosowski2.101211143M. Olejnik1.67105120LSep 8 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.739131191T. Spanik2.0011154113LSep 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.677121191A. Wiecek2.1011146113LSep 8 · 04:10J. Kosowski2.3881151182J. Folwarski1.53115119113
Upcoming Matches
P. David
Sep 17 · 05:40P. David1.61J. Zandecki2.20—Sep 17 · 06:55P. David1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—Sep 17 · 08:30P. David1.57A. Grela2.25—Sep 17 · 09:20P. David1.80J. Kosowski1.91—Sep 17 · 10:00P. David1.61J. Zandecki2.20—Sep 17 · 11:15P. David1.61G. Felkel2.20—Sep 17 · 12:30P. David1.25K. Wloczko3.75—Sep 17 · 13:45P. David1.57A. Grela2.25—
J. Kosowski
Sep 17 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.73J. Zandecki2.00—Sep 17 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.83M. Jadczyk1.80—Sep 17 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.91P. David1.80—Sep 17 · 10:50J. Kosowski1.50K. Wloczko2.50—Sep 17 · 12:05J. Kosowski1.50A. Grela2.50—Sep 17 · 13:20J. Kosowski1.83G. Felkel1.83—Sep 17 · 14:35J. Kosowski1.73J. Zandecki2.00—
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