TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13135125
Played Sep 16Finished
Petr David
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811811––––
Jakub Kuzmicz
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:46 and never touched — 77.8% is still 77.8%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
77.8%
77.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr David above · Jakub Kuzmicz below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 60 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Petr David at 77.8%
60 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 1–1 Jakub Kuzmicz Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Kuzmicz beat David 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:46What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
David
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
David 2006 vs Kuzmicz 1843
David
Wrong
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 80% vs Kuzmicz 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 70% vs Kuzmicz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
David +2 · Kuzmicz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans David) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmicz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.20 / Kuzmicz 4.33
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (David)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13135125
David1.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 222 of 330
Up 2–0, closes it97% 117 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it82% 168 of 204
Kuzmicz4.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog51% won 113 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back31% 32 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDavid1wins
AwayKuzmicz1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricDavidKuzmiczD − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match35.035.5−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime649 / 985 vs 686 / 118665.9%57.8%649 / 985 vs 686 / 1186Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.940.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.20/Kuzmicz 4.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.1%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 16 · 07:20P. David2612770J. Kuzmicz361411113
WApr 5 · 15:35P. David4411715113J. Kuzmicz358111331
P. David10
WSep 16 · 12:30M. Miastowski3.0051191362P. David1.361171111113WSep 16 · 11:40G. Felkel2.2011370P. David1.611311113LSep 16 · 10:50P. David1.25911891K. Wloczko3.7511911113WSep 16 · 09:40P. David1.571011117113M. Jadczyk2.2512871192WSep 16 · 08:30M. Miastowski3.25411761P. David1.3311911113LSep 16 · 07:20P. David1.2512770J. Kuzmicz3.751411113LSep 16 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.001711113P. David1.7315870WSep 16 · 04:55G. Felkel2.50411681P. David1.5011511113WSep 16 · 03:25K. Wloczko3.759760P. David1.251111113WSep 8 · 08:05A. Wiecek2.508121161P. David1.5011146113
J. Kuzmicz10
LSep 16 · 13:20K. Wloczko1.44711911123J. Kuzmicz2.63115116102WSep 16 · 11:15M. Miastowski1.8011841192J. Kuzmicz1.91911119113WSep 16 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.57117101172J. Kuzmicz2.25411126113WSep 16 · 09:00G. Felkel1.4431011141J. Kuzmicz2.6311129163WSep 16 · 08:05G. Felkel1.33411981J. Kuzmicz3.2511811113WSep 16 · 07:20P. David1.2512770J. Kuzmicz3.751411113LSep 16 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.731111113J. Kuzmicz2.006670WSep 16 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.731091181J. Kuzmicz2.0012115113LSep 16 · 03:00M. Miastowski1.73101111113J. Kuzmicz2.00124961LSep 14 · 08:05L. Jarocki2.16911811113J. Kuzmicz1.5711611792
Upcoming Matches
P. David
Sep 17 · 03:00P. David1.61G. Felkel2.20—Sep 17 · 04:10P. David1.80J. Kosowski1.91—Sep 17 · 05:40P. David1.61J. Zandecki2.20—Sep 17 · 06:55P. David1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—Sep 17 · 08:30P. David1.57A. Grela2.25—Sep 17 · 09:20P. David1.80J. Kosowski1.91—Sep 17 · 10:00P. David1.61J. Zandecki2.20—Sep 17 · 11:15P. David1.61G. Felkel2.20—Sep 17 · 12:30P. David1.25K. Wloczko3.75—Sep 17 · 13:45P. David1.57A. Grela2.25—
J. Kuzmicz
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.