TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13135054
Played Sep 16Finished
Grzegorz Felkel
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113311711––––
Petr David
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:26 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Felkel above · Petr David below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Petr David at 64.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Felkel 25–53 Petr David Grzegorz Felkel has won 25 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
David
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-53 in 78
David
Correct
gap of 28 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Felkel 1871 vs David 1965
David
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Felkel 40% vs David 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Felkel 30% vs David 70%
David
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Felkel +1 · David -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans David) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- David form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFelkel 2.20 / David 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (David)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13135054
Felkel2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As underdog35% won 28 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back18% 9 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
David1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 222 of 330
Up 2–0, closes it97% 117 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it82% 168 of 204
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFelkel3wins
AwayDavid7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFelkel50%3 of 6
AwayDavid100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Felkel6David4n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S2Felkel4David6n = 10David took 6 of 10
S3Felkel2David8n = 10David took 8 of 10
S4Felkel1David5n = 6David took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFelkelDavidF − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match31.237.2−6.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFelkelDavidBasisWin rate · lifetime702 / 1174 vs 647 / 98359.8%65.8%702 / 1174 vs 647 / 983Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidFelkel 2.20/David 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 03:45G. Felkel46116711113P. David4691111692
LJun 28 · 10:25G. Felkel228590P. David331111113
LJun 28 · 07:20G. Felkel331110571P. David4391211113
WMay 20 · 12:25G. Felkel331111113P. David258980
LMay 20 · 04:00G. Felkel377131161P. David46111113113
WMay 19 · 15:10G. Felkel331111113P. David205870
LMay 19 · 08:25G. Felkel30811561P. David4111811113
LMay 13 · 10:00G. Felkel26116361P. David4181111113
LMay 13 · 09:10G. Felkel183780P. David331111113
LMay 5 · 12:25G. Felkel34138761P. David44111111113
G. Felkel10
WSep 16 · 10:00G. Felkel1.44111197113M. Miastowski2.6395111172LSep 16 · 09:00G. Felkel1.4431011141J. Kuzmicz2.6311129163LSep 16 · 08:05G. Felkel1.33411981J. Kuzmicz3.2511811113WSep 16 · 06:30K. Wloczko2.63612431G. Felkel1.44111011113LSep 16 · 05:40M. Miastowski2.75111156113G. Felkel1.4086111182LSep 16 · 04:55G. Felkel2.50411681P. David1.5011511113WSep 16 · 03:45G. Felkel1.83111189113M. Jadczyk1.8387111112LSep 10 · 14:10D. Michna1.83911911113G. Felkel1.8311611512LSep 10 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.633G. Felkel1.442LSep 10 · 11:15A. Grela1.831211510113G. Felkel1.83107111272
P. David10
WSep 16 · 12:30M. Miastowski3.0051191362P. David1.361171111113LSep 16 · 10:50P. David1.25911891K. Wloczko3.7511911113WSep 16 · 09:40P. David1.571011117113M. Jadczyk2.2512871192WSep 16 · 08:30M. Miastowski3.25411761P. David1.3311911113LSep 16 · 07:20P. David1.2512770J. Kuzmicz3.751411113LSep 16 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.001711113P. David1.7315870WSep 16 · 04:55G. Felkel2.50411681P. David1.5011511113WSep 16 · 03:25K. Wloczko3.759760P. David1.251111113WSep 8 · 08:05A. Wiecek2.508121161P. David1.5011146113WSep 8 · 07:20M. Olejnik2.008101181P. David1.7311125113
Upcoming Matches
G. Felkel
Sep 16 · 14:35G. Felkel1.44K. Wloczko2.63—Sep 17 · 03:00G. Felkel2.20P. David1.61—Sep 17 · 04:30G. Felkel1.83M. Jadczyk1.83—Sep 17 · 05:15G. Felkel1.83J. Kosowski1.83—Sep 17 · 07:20G. Felkel1.73A. Grela2.00—Sep 17 · 08:05G. Felkel1.67J. Zandecki2.10—Sep 17 · 09:00G. Felkel1.67J. Zandecki2.10—Sep 17 · 10:25G. Felkel1.73A. Grela2.00—Sep 17 · 11:15G. Felkel2.20P. David1.61—Sep 17 · 13:20G. Felkel1.83J. Kosowski1.83—
P. David
Sep 16 · 14:10P. David1.20J. Kuzmicz4.33—Sep 17 · 03:00P. David1.61G. Felkel2.20—Sep 17 · 04:10P. David1.80J. Kosowski1.91—Sep 17 · 05:40P. David1.61J. Zandecki2.20—Sep 17 · 06:55P. David1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—Sep 17 · 08:30P. David1.57A. Grela2.25—Sep 17 · 09:20P. David1.80J. Kosowski1.91—Sep 17 · 10:00P. David1.61J. Zandecki2.20—Sep 17 · 11:15P. David1.61G. Felkel2.20—Sep 17 · 12:30P. David1.25K. Wloczko3.75—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.