TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13135338
Played Sep 16Finished
Maksymilian Miastowski
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118116511611118
Grzegorz Felkel
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:46 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Felkel to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksymilian Miastowski above · Grzegorz Felkel below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Grzegorz Felkel at 67.9%
88 points played in total.
H2H Maksymilian Miastowski 16–38 Grzegorz Felkel Maksymilian Miastowski has won 16 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:46What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Felkel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-38 in 54
Felkel
Wrong
gap of 22 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miastowski 1867 vs Felkel 1888
Felkel
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miastowski 80% vs Felkel 20%
Miastowski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miastowski 70% vs Felkel 40%
Miastowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miastowski -1 · Felkel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Felkel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Felkel form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiastowski 2.75 / Felkel 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Felkel)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13135338
Miastowski2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 82 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Felkel1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As favourite63% won 218 of 348
Up 2–0, closes it93% 117 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it78% 157 of 202
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiastowski2wins
AwayFelkel8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiastowski28.6%2 of 7
AwayFelkel100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miastowski7Felkel3n = 10Miastowski took 7 of 10
S2Miastowski1Felkel9n = 10Felkel took 9 of 10
S3Miastowski4Felkel6n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S4Miastowski4Felkel5n = 9Felkel took 5 of 9
S5Miastowski0Felkel3n = 3Felkel took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiastowskiFelkelM − FBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.642.4−4.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiastowskiFelkelBasisWin rate · lifetime584 / 1120 vs 703 / 117452.1%59.9%584 / 1120 vs 703 / 1174Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelMiastowski 2.75/Felkel 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Miastowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 08:10M. Miastowski4411811143G. Felkel342119121
LJul 19 · 13:20M. Miastowski333101191G. Felkel4311129113
LJul 19 · 07:45M. Miastowski187650G. Felkel331111113
LJul 18 · 14:10M. Miastowski34119681G. Felkel4291111113
LMay 2 · 14:30M. Miastowski331141081G. Felkel4061112113
LMay 2 · 05:25M. Miastowski4911791482G. Felkel538111112113
LApr 7 · 15:10M. Miastowski401391081G. Felkel45111112113
WApr 7 · 04:00M. Miastowski4011711113G. Felkel34611981
LApr 6 · 11:10M. Miastowski46111371232G. Felkel5613111110113
LApr 6 · 06:40M. Miastowski3911611382G. Felkel44511611113
M. Miastowski10
LSep 16 · 04:10M. Miastowski1.73681181K. Wloczko2.0011116113WSep 16 · 03:00M. Miastowski1.73101111113J. Kuzmicz2.00124961WSep 15 · 14:15M. Miastowski1.7111911123K. Glazowski2.006115101WSep 15 · 12:35M. Sklensky1.871171171M. Miastowski1.8371113113WSep 15 · 11:45M. Malachowski2.4391561192M. Miastowski1.451113117113LSep 15 · 10:55M. Miastowski1.51491151M. Rutkowski2.2811118113WSep 15 · 09:45M. Miastowski1.6011612113L. Jarocki2.105111081LSep 15 · 08:05J. Braun1.91581111113M. Miastowski1.8011119962WSep 15 · 07:20K. Strowski2.2091291152M. Miastowski1.611110117113WSep 15 · 05:15T. Spanik1.571199191M. Miastowski2.2581111213
G. Felkel10
WSep 16 · 06:30K. Wloczko2.63612431G. Felkel1.44111011113LSep 16 · 04:55G. Felkel2.50411681P. David1.5011511113WSep 16 · 03:45G. Felkel1.83111189113M. Jadczyk1.8387111112LSep 10 · 14:10D. Michna1.83911911113G. Felkel1.8311611512LSep 10 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.633G. Felkel1.442LSep 10 · 11:15A. Grela1.831211510113G. Felkel1.83107111272WSep 10 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.8311781122G. Felkel1.83611115113WSep 10 · 09:00K. Wloczko3.001149101G. Felkel1.3661111123LSep 10 · 08:10M. Miastowski2.5011811143G. Felkel1.502119121WSep 10 · 07:25D. Michna2.00126111182G. Felkel1.73141167113
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