TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13132841
Played Sep 15Finished
Maksymilian Miastowski
Home
1.51
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411911118511––
Mateusz Rutkowski
Away
2.28
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:27 and never touched — 69.7% is still 69.7%
Graded at full timeMaksymilian Miastowski to win
69.7%
69.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
411911118511––
H2H Maksymilian Miastowski 10–2 Mateusz Rutkowski Mateusz Rutkowski has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (60%)
Miastowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-2 in 12
Miastowski
Wrong
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miastowski 1862 vs Rutkowski 1675
Miastowski
Wrong
both rated, 187 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miastowski 80% vs Rutkowski 40%
Miastowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miastowski 80% vs Rutkowski 40%
Miastowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miastowski +1 · Rutkowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Miastowski) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miastowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiastowski 1.51 / Rutkowski 2.28
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Miastowski)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13132841
Miastowski1.51
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 114 of 194
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it79% 77 of 98
Rutkowski2.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 131 of 312
Down 0–1, comes back23% 42 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiastowski9wins
AwayRutkowski1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMiastowski leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiastowski100%8 of 8
AwayRutkowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miastowski8Rutkowski2n = 10Miastowski took 8 of 10
S2Miastowski7Rutkowski3n = 10Miastowski took 7 of 10
S3Miastowski7Rutkowski3n = 10Miastowski took 7 of 10
S4Miastowski2Rutkowski3n = 5Rutkowski took 3 of 5
S5Miastowski3Rutkowski0n = 3Miastowski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiastowskiRutkowskiM − RBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.030.6+8.4per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiastowskiRutkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime586 / 1125 vs 787 / 140152.1%56.2%586 / 1125 vs 787 / 1401Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MiastowskiMiastowski 1.51/Rutkowski 2.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Miastowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rutkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 3 · 24:15M. Miastowski331111113M. Rutkowski215970
WJun 2 · 21:50M. Miastowski4213117113M. Rutkowski351171161
WJun 2 · 01:30M. Miastowski49111179113M. Rutkowski4378111162
WJun 1 · 23:00M. Miastowski3911611113M. Rutkowski25511721
WJun 1 · 16:40M. Miastowski391711113M. Rutkowski3015780
LMar 12 · 02:05M. Miastowski2211560M. Rutkowski351311113
WMar 11 · 23:40M. Miastowski491110116113M. Rutkowski4181261142
WMar 11 · 21:35M. Miastowski341112113M. Rutkowski2051050
WMar 11 · 01:15M. Miastowski331111113M. Rutkowski215790
WMar 10 · 22:50M. Miastowski506111111113M. Rutkowski3511431342
M. Miastowski10
WSep 15 · 09:45M. Miastowski1.6011612113L. Jarocki2.105111081LSep 15 · 08:05J. Braun1.91581111113M. Miastowski1.8011119962WSep 15 · 07:20K. Strowski2.2091291152M. Miastowski1.611110117113WSep 15 · 05:15T. Spanik1.571199191M. Miastowski2.2581111213WSep 15 · 04:30M. Olejnik1.50911891M. Miastowski2.5011611113WSep 15 · 03:00A. Wiecek1.678131091M. Miastowski2.10111112113LSep 11 · 14:15M. Miastowski1.731285151M. Nowalinski1.92101111173WSep 11 · 12:35K. Staszczyk2.905890M. Miastowski1.321111113WSep 11 · 11:45D. Kosmal2.50121567102M. Miastowski1.4510131111123WSep 11 · 10:55M. Miastowski1.381313113K. Wisniewski2.65111190
M. Rutkowski10
LSep 15 · 09:20M. Sklensky1.6161212113M. Rutkowski2.0911101061WSep 14 · 14:15M. Rutkowski1.7613611133G. Poliniewicz1.9011115111LSep 14 · 12:35K. Kapik2.051111113M. Rutkowski1.668640WSep 14 · 11:45L. Jarocki1.7411991192M. Rutkowski1.95611118113LSep 14 · 10:55M. Rutkowski1.83811681M. Malachowski1.8311711113LSep 14 · 09:45M. Rutkowski2.08561151K. Glazowski1.6111118113LSep 14 · 24:10D. Jadam2.389111110113M. Rutkowski1.5311551252WSep 13 · 23:45M. Rutkowski1.404111210113A. Wos2.75115101292WSep 13 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.361111113L. Pietraszko3.007890LSep 13 · 21:00M. Rutkowski2.388740F. Mlynarski1.531111113
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