TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122140
Played Sep 14Finished
Dawid Jadam
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111151151012115
Mateusz Rutkowski
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeMateusz Rutkowski to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDawid Jadam above · Mateusz Rutkowski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 90 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Mateusz Rutkowski at 61.2%
90 points played in total.
H2H Dawid Jadam 5–15 Mateusz Rutkowski Dawid Jadam has won 5 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:52What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Rutkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-15 in 20
Rutkowski
Wrong
gap of 10 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadam 1710 vs Rutkowski 1709
Jadam
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadam 80% vs Rutkowski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadam 70% vs Rutkowski 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadam +3 · Rutkowski +1
Jadam
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Rutkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rutkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadam 2.38 / Rutkowski 1.53
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Rutkowski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13122140
Jadam2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 83 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 55
Rutkowski1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 354 of 498
Up 2–0, closes it98% 171 of 175
Up 1–0, closes it91% 278 of 307
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadam4wins
AwayRutkowski6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRutkowski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadam57.1%4 of 7
AwayRutkowski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadam7Rutkowski3n = 10Jadam took 7 of 10
S2Jadam4Rutkowski6n = 10Rutkowski took 6 of 10
S3Jadam1Rutkowski9n = 10Rutkowski took 9 of 10
S4Jadam4Rutkowski4n = 8split evenly
S5Jadam2Rutkowski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadamRutkowskiJ − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.242.2−6.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadamRutkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 328 vs 784 / 139349.4%56.3%162 / 328 vs 784 / 1393Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RutkowskiJadam 2.38/Rutkowski 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.2%
Rutkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jadam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 9 · 01:10D. Jadam197660M. Rutkowski331111113
LJul 8 · 22:50D. Jadam33136861M. Rutkowski44111111113
LJul 3 · 21:20D. Jadam30129361M. Rutkowski43101111113
WJul 2 · 19:25D. Jadam3611113113M. Rutkowski34871181
LJul 1 · 23:15D. Jadam4511961272M. Rutkowski529111110113
LJul 1 · 21:00D. Jadam41311214112M. Rutkowski551181112133
LJun 21 · 19:15D. Jadam2010640M. Rutkowski341211113
WJun 9 · 15:30D. Jadam45111165123M. Rutkowski40531111102
WJun 4 · 18:35D. Jadam52127139113M. Rutkowski511011111182
WJun 1 · 24:20D. Jadam4111118113M. Rutkowski36791191
D. Jadam10
WSep 13 · 23:20D. Jadam1.8011511113F. Mlynarski1.91811781WSep 13 · 21:50D. Jadam1.50691113113A. Wos2.50111161182WSep 13 · 21:25D. Jadam1.611111113L. Pietraszko2.204850LSep 13 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8391111113D. Jadam1.83115881WSep 13 · 19:15D. Jadam1.6171111113G. Kesik2.20115691WSep 13 · 18:05K. Staszczyk1.837380D. Jadam1.831111113WSep 13 · 16:55L. Pietraszko2.10118371D. Jadam1.6781111113LSep 13 · 15:25M. Kolek2.2511914113D. Jadam1.574111291LSep 13 · 24:35D. Jadam1.8311710F. Mlynarski1.831311113WSep 12 · 23:45P. Jendrzejewski1.7377111162D. Jadam2.00111159113
M. Rutkowski10
WSep 13 · 23:45M. Rutkowski1.404111210113A. Wos2.75115101292WSep 13 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.361111113L. Pietraszko3.007890LSep 13 · 21:00M. Rutkowski2.388740F. Mlynarski1.531111113WSep 10 · 24:10M. Rutkowski1.5031112113J. Chmielowski2.501191071WSep 9 · 23:20M. Rutkowski2.001113118113K. Kapik1.7391571142WSep 9 · 21:50M. Rutkowski1.8011114113K. Staszczyk1.91661181WSep 9 · 21:25M. Rutkowski1.5341111113M. Olbrycht2.38113891WSep 9 · 24:10K. Kapik2.0091170M. Rutkowski1.731113113LSep 8 · 23:45M. Rutkowski1.83116111182K. Staszczyk1.83411135113LSep 8 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.44118971L. Pietraszko2.6381111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Jadam
Nothing scheduled
M. Rutkowski1 of 5 neutral
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