TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125238
Played Sep 13Finished
Mateusz Rutkowski
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118119––––
Lukasz Pietraszko
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:54 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeMateusz Rutkowski to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMateusz Rutkowski above · Lukasz Pietraszko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Mateusz Rutkowski at 71.2%
57 points played in total.
H2H Mateusz Rutkowski 23–9 Lukasz Pietraszko Lukasz Pietraszko has won 9 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:54What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Rutkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-9 in 32
Rutkowski
Correct
gap of 14 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rutkowski 1699 vs Pietraszko 1568
Rutkowski
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rutkowski 80% vs Pietraszko 0%
Rutkowski
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rutkowski 70% vs Pietraszko 20%
Rutkowski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rutkowski -1 · Pietraszko -5
Pietraszko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Rutkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRutkowski 1.36 / Pietraszko 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Rutkowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13125238
Rutkowski1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 354 of 498
Up 2–0, closes it98% 171 of 175
Up 1–0, closes it91% 278 of 307
Pietraszko3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 95 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back18% 27 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRutkowski7wins
AwayPietraszko3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRutkowski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRutkowski85.7%6 of 7
AwayPietraszko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rutkowski7Pietraszko3n = 10Rutkowski took 7 of 10
S2Rutkowski4Pietraszko6n = 10Pietraszko took 6 of 10
S3Rutkowski6Pietraszko4n = 10Rutkowski took 6 of 10
S4Rutkowski4Pietraszko4n = 8split evenly
S5Rutkowski3Pietraszko0n = 3Rutkowski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRutkowskiPietraszkoR − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.937.3+3.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRutkowskiPietraszkoBasisWin rate · lifetime783 / 1392 vs 426 / 85156.3%50.1%783 / 1392 vs 426 / 851Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RutkowskiRutkowski 1.36/Pietraszko 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Rutkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rutkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 22:55M. Rutkowski35118971L. Pietraszko4181111113
WSep 8 · 20:05M. Rutkowski49119117113L. Pietraszko4181151162
LSep 2 · 22:35M. Rutkowski399111181L. Pietraszko4211137113
WAug 19 · 22:35M. Rutkowski331111113L. Pietraszko195950
WAug 17 · 24:10M. Rutkowski471131111113L. Pietraszko4581113582
WAug 16 · 19:15M. Rutkowski511011811113L. Pietraszko4712911962
LAug 12 · 21:00M. Rutkowski4010117121L. Pietraszko4512811143
WAug 5 · 22:55M. Rutkowski341112113L. Pietraszko2781090
WAug 5 · 20:05M. Rutkowski4011711113L. Pietraszko32711591
WAug 3 · 22:35M. Rutkowski4111811113L. Pietraszko34811691
M. Rutkowski10
LSep 13 · 21:00M. Rutkowski2.388740F. Mlynarski1.531111113WSep 10 · 24:10M. Rutkowski1.5031112113J. Chmielowski2.501191071WSep 9 · 23:20M. Rutkowski2.001113118113K. Kapik1.7391571142WSep 9 · 21:50M. Rutkowski1.8011114113K. Staszczyk1.91661181WSep 9 · 21:25M. Rutkowski1.5341111113M. Olbrycht2.38113891WSep 9 · 24:10K. Kapik2.0091170M. Rutkowski1.731113113LSep 8 · 23:45M. Rutkowski1.83116111182K. Staszczyk1.83411135113LSep 8 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.44118971L. Pietraszko2.6381111113WSep 8 · 21:00M. Rutkowski1.5011118113K. Kostyk2.50761111WSep 8 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.0081151162M. Rutkowski1.36119117113
L. Pietraszko10
LSep 13 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.671111113L. Pietraszko2.106770LSep 13 · 21:25D. Jadam1.611111113L. Pietraszko2.204850LSep 13 · 20:05L. Pietraszko1.53631291G. Kesik2.38111110113LSep 13 · 18:30M. Kolek1.911111113L. Pietraszko1.809280LSep 13 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.441111113L. Pietraszko2.637470LSep 13 · 16:55L. Pietraszko2.10118371D. Jadam1.6781111113LSep 13 · 15:45L. Pietraszko2.38119971K. Staszczyk1.5381111113LSep 9 · 24:35K. Staszczyk1.571512133L. Pietraszko2.251310110WSep 8 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.44118971L. Pietraszko2.6381111113LSep 8 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.0081151162M. Rutkowski1.36119117113
Upcoming Matches
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