TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122142
Played Sep 13Finished
Dawid Jadam
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118115––––
Lukasz Pietraszko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeDawid Jadam to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDawid Jadam above · Lukasz Pietraszko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 50 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Dawid Jadam at 56.3%
50 points played in total.
H2H Dawid Jadam 9–8 Lukasz Pietraszko Lukasz Pietraszko has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Jadam beat Pietraszko 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jadam
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadam 1680 vs Pietraszko 1586
Jadam
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadam 60% vs Pietraszko 0%
Jadam
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadam 60% vs Pietraszko 20%
Jadam
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadam -1 · Pietraszko -5
Pietraszko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Jadam) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadam 1.61 / Pietraszko 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Jadam)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13122142
Jadam1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 66 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 43 of 50
Pietraszko2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 95 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back18% 27 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadam5wins
AwayPietraszko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadam80%4 of 5
AwayPietraszko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadam5Pietraszko5n = 10split evenly
S2Jadam6Pietraszko4n = 10Jadam took 6 of 10
S3Jadam5Pietraszko5n = 10split evenly
S4Jadam4Pietraszko3n = 7Jadam took 4 of 7
S5Jadam1Pietraszko2n = 3Pietraszko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadamPietraszkoJ − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.737.3−0.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadamPietraszkoBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 325 vs 426 / 84948.9%50.2%159 / 325 vs 426 / 849Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadamJadam 1.61/Pietraszko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Jadam · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jadam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 16:55D. Jadam4181111113L. Pietraszko29118371
WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam46115811113L. Pietraszko4791111792
LSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam27105120L. Pietraszko371211143
WAug 16 · 23:45D. Jadam3811511113L. Pietraszko35911781
WAug 16 · 16:30D. Jadam331111113L. Pietraszko215970
WJul 2 · 24:45D. Jadam371115113L. Pietraszko2991370
LJul 1 · 22:30D. Jadam321011561L. Pietraszko4112711113
LJul 1 · 20:30D. Jadam4369111162L. Pietraszko46111167113
LJun 21 · 23:55D. Jadam3711116272L. Pietraszko48871111113
LJun 21 · 21:45D. Jadam33911851L. Pietraszko4011711113
D. Jadam10
LSep 13 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8391111113D. Jadam1.83115881WSep 13 · 19:15D. Jadam1.6171111113G. Kesik2.20115691WSep 13 · 18:05K. Staszczyk1.837380D. Jadam1.831111113WSep 13 · 16:55L. Pietraszko2.10118371D. Jadam1.6781111113LSep 13 · 15:25M. Kolek2.2511914113D. Jadam1.574111291LSep 13 · 24:35D. Jadam1.8311710F. Mlynarski1.831311113WSep 12 · 23:45P. Jendrzejewski1.7377111162D. Jadam2.00111159113LSep 12 · 22:35D. Jadam1.803990M. Marchlewski1.911111113WSep 12 · 21:50T. Filbrandt2.1091191182D. Jadam1.67117118113WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113
L. Pietraszko10
LSep 13 · 20:05L. Pietraszko1.53631291G. Kesik2.38111110113LSep 13 · 18:30M. Kolek1.911111113L. Pietraszko1.809280LSep 13 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.441111113L. Pietraszko2.637470LSep 13 · 16:55L. Pietraszko2.10118371D. Jadam1.6781111113LSep 13 · 15:45L. Pietraszko2.38119971K. Staszczyk1.5381111113LSep 9 · 24:35K. Staszczyk1.571512133L. Pietraszko2.251310110WSep 8 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.44118971L. Pietraszko2.6381111113WSep 8 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.0081111482L. Pietraszko1.73119911113LSep 8 · 21:25K. Kapik1.73111311113L. Pietraszko2.00815571LSep 8 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.0081151162M. Rutkowski1.36119117113
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