TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13131733
Played Sep 15Finished
Maksymilian Miastowski
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1156111210118––
Lukasz Jarocki
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:24 and never touched — 60.6% is still 60.6%
Graded at full timeMaksymilian Miastowski to win
60.6%
60.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1156111210118––
H2H Maksymilian Miastowski 22–17 Lukasz Jarocki Lukasz Jarocki has won 17 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:24What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Miastowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-17 in 39
Miastowski
Correct
gap of 5 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miastowski 1853 vs Jarocki 1754
Miastowski
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miastowski 80% vs Jarocki 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miastowski 80% vs Jarocki 50%
Miastowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miastowski -1 · Jarocki +4
Jarocki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Miastowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jarocki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiastowski 1.60 / Jarocki 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Miastowski)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13131733
Miastowski1.60
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 114 of 194
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it79% 77 of 98
Jarocki2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 60 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiastowski3wins
AwayJarocki7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJarocki leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiastowski60%3 of 5
AwayJarocki100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miastowski5Jarocki5n = 10split evenly
S2Miastowski7Jarocki3n = 10Miastowski took 7 of 10
S3Miastowski4Jarocki6n = 10Jarocki took 6 of 10
S4Miastowski2Jarocki5n = 7Jarocki took 5 of 7
S5Miastowski1Jarocki4n = 5Jarocki took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiastowskiJarockiM − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.141.5−2.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiastowskiJarockiBasisWin rate · lifetime585 / 1124 vs 826 / 147352.1%56.1%585 / 1124 vs 826 / 1473Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MiastowskiMiastowski 1.60/Jarocki 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.4%
Miastowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Miastowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 10:05M. Miastowski461110311112L. Jarocki53912118133
WAug 10 · 12:35M. Miastowski42133411113L. Jarocki49111111972
WJun 10 · 03:05M. Miastowski331111113L. Jarocki248790
LMay 26 · 10:40M. Miastowski237790L. Jarocki331111113
WMay 26 · 05:00M. Miastowski331111113L. Jarocki187560
LMay 1 · 10:25M. Miastowski50101113972L. Jarocki511261111113
LMay 1 · 07:00M. Miastowski44121282102L. Jarocki5410101111123
LApr 15 · 03:05M. Miastowski518111111102L. Jarocki49118513123
LApr 9 · 12:25M. Miastowski33611791L. Jarocki4111811113
LApr 8 · 14:25M. Miastowski361411561L. Jarocki4316511113
M. Miastowski10
LSep 15 · 08:05J. Braun1.91581111113M. Miastowski1.8011119962WSep 15 · 07:20K. Strowski2.2091291152M. Miastowski1.611110117113WSep 15 · 05:15T. Spanik1.571199191M. Miastowski2.2581111213WSep 15 · 04:30M. Olejnik1.50911891M. Miastowski2.5011611113WSep 15 · 03:00A. Wiecek1.678131091M. Miastowski2.10111112113LSep 11 · 14:15M. Miastowski1.731285151M. Nowalinski1.92101111173WSep 11 · 12:35K. Staszczyk2.905890M. Miastowski1.321111113WSep 11 · 11:45D. Kosmal2.50121567102M. Miastowski1.4510131111123WSep 11 · 10:55M. Miastowski1.381313113K. Wisniewski2.65111190WSep 11 · 09:45M. Miastowski1.3791112113M. Kolek2.701191081
L. Jarocki10
WSep 15 · 08:30M. Sklensky1.75121170L. Jarocki1.901413113WSep 15 · 07:15L. Jarocki1.92811117113K. Glazowski1.7311861182WSep 15 · 06:00M. Malachowski2.02411491L. Jarocki1.6511911113WSep 15 · 04:50K. Kapik2.10611111652L. Jarocki1.651191314113LSep 15 · 03:20K. Wisniewski2.35111194113L. Jarocki1.5097111132LSep 14 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.915570M. Malachowski1.801111113WSep 14 · 13:00L. Jarocki1.92151011113K. Glazowski1.731312991LSep 14 · 11:45L. Jarocki1.7411991192M. Rutkowski1.95611118113LSep 14 · 10:05L. Jarocki1.62114331K. Kapik2.1591111113LSep 14 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.63611461G. Poliniewicz2.0511711113
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