TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13127549
Played Sep 14Finished
Lukasz Jarocki
Home
1.92
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
15131012119119––
Kacper Glazowski
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Jarocki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
15131012119119––
H2H Lukasz Jarocki 28–33 Kacper Glazowski Lukasz Jarocki has won 28 of their 61 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:14What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Glazowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-33 in 61
Glazowski
Wrong
gap of 5 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jarocki 1715 vs Glazowski 1764
Glazowski
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jarocki 40% vs Glazowski 80%
Glazowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jarocki 50% vs Glazowski 70%
Glazowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jarocki -3 · Glazowski +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Glazowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glazowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJarocki 1.92 / Glazowski 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Glazowski)+1.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13127549
Jarocki1.92
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 60 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Glazowski1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 123 of 195
Up 2–0, closes it98% 58 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it80% 101 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJarocki5wins
AwayGlazowski5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJarocki100%4 of 4
AwayGlazowski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jarocki4Glazowski6n = 10Glazowski took 6 of 10
S2Jarocki6Glazowski4n = 10Jarocki took 6 of 10
S3Jarocki6Glazowski4n = 10Jarocki took 6 of 10
S4Jarocki2Glazowski8n = 10Glazowski took 8 of 10
S5Jarocki4Glazowski2n = 6Jarocki took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJarockiGlazowskiJ − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.644.5−0.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJarockiGlazowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime824 / 1471 vs 489 / 99656%49.1%824 / 1471 vs 489 / 996Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlazowskiJarocki 1.92/Glazowski 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Glazowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jarocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 04:50L. Jarocki35911871K. Glazowski4211911113
LSep 1 · 15:45L. Jarocki51911141162K. Glazowski53118167113
WAug 31 · 18:05L. Jarocki48118117113K. Glazowski4381141192
LAug 31 · 10:55L. Jarocki32911841K. Glazowski4111811113
LAug 11 · 19:40L. Jarocki29411681K. Glazowski3811511113
WAug 11 · 14:35L. Jarocki4211911113K. Glazowski34711791
WAug 10 · 17:40L. Jarocki5512111110113K. Glazowski5014791282
LAug 10 · 11:45L. Jarocki4261112852K. Glazowski491161011113
WJul 28 · 09:00L. Jarocki511112116113K. Glazowski4791491142
WJun 9 · 11:30L. Jarocki51119119113K. Glazowski4891191182
L. Jarocki10
LSep 14 · 11:45L. Jarocki1.7411991192M. Rutkowski1.95611118113LSep 14 · 10:05L. Jarocki1.62114331K. Kapik2.1591111113LSep 14 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.63611461G. Poliniewicz2.0511711113WSep 14 · 08:05L. Jarocki2.16911811113J. Kuzmicz1.5711611792WSep 14 · 06:25A. Sobel2.70261191L. Jarocki1.4111118113WSep 14 · 05:35K. Wisniewski2.38631161L. Jarocki1.5311119113LSep 14 · 04:50L. Jarocki1.92911871K. Glazowski1.7311911113LSep 14 · 03:40L. Jarocki1.839121271M. Malachowski1.87111410113WSep 1 · 19:40K. Strowski2.0091171152L. Jarocki1.73117119113WSep 1 · 18:50A. Spychala2.207680L. Jarocki1.611111113
K. Glazowski10
LSep 14 · 13:50K. Kapik2.3011116113K. Glazowski1.55751191WSep 14 · 12:10K. Glazowski1.64118137113M. Malachowski2.04911111182WSep 14 · 10:30K. Glazowski1.58111211113G. Poliniewicz2.14714971WSep 14 · 09:45M. Rutkowski2.08561151K. Glazowski1.6111118113WSep 14 · 08:30K. Wisniewski2.557640K. Glazowski1.411111113LSep 14 · 07:15K. Glazowski1.95101011121J. Kuzmicz1.7512127143LSep 14 · 06:00M. Malachowski2.05116116123K. Glazowski1.65911411102WSep 14 · 04:50L. Jarocki1.92911871K. Glazowski1.7311911113WSep 14 · 03:20A. Sobel3.90116471K. Glazowski1.1871111113LSep 8 · 19:40A. Daniel1.61116136113K. Glazowski2.20911111192
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