TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13127461
Played Sep 14Finished
Kacper Glazowski
Home
1.64
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1198111311711118
Michal Malachowski
Away
2.04
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Glazowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
1198111311711118
H2H Kacper Glazowski 16–19 Michal Malachowski Kacper Glazowski has won 16 of their 35 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Malachowski beat Glazowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:25What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.64 (55%)
Glazowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-19 in 35
Malachowski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glazowski 1754 vs Malachowski 1755
Malachowski
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glazowski 60% vs Malachowski 100%
Malachowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glazowski 60% vs Malachowski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Glazowski +3 · Malachowski +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Glazowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malachowski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlazowski 1.64 / Malachowski 2.04
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Glazowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13127461
Glazowski1.64
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 123 of 195
Up 2–0, closes it98% 58 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it80% 101 of 126
Malachowski2.04
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog39% won 31 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back25% 12 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlazowski4wins
AwayMalachowski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMalachowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlazowski100%4 of 4
AwayMalachowski100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glazowski4Malachowski6n = 10Malachowski took 6 of 10
S2Glazowski6Malachowski4n = 10Glazowski took 6 of 10
S3Glazowski4Malachowski6n = 10Malachowski took 6 of 10
S4Glazowski4Malachowski2n = 6Glazowski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlazowskiMalachowskiG − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.735.9−0.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlazowskiMalachowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime488 / 995 vs 417 / 78849.1%52.9%488 / 995 vs 417 / 788Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlazowskiGlazowski 1.64/Malachowski 2.04
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Glazowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Glazowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 06:00K. Glazowski45911411102M. Malachowski46116116123
LAug 25 · 19:15K. Glazowski46101151192M. Malachowski45123118113
WAug 24 · 15:45K. Glazowski4214116113M. Malachowski391291171
LMay 4 · 19:25K. Glazowski31961331M. Malachowski44111111113
WDec 12 · 14:10K. Glazowski3911611113M. Malachowski29411681
WDec 12 · 07:10K. Glazowski331111113M. Malachowski206680
LDec 11 · 11:40K. Glazowski29810110M. Malachowski361112133
WDec 11 · 07:10K. Glazowski331111113M. Malachowski205780
LDec 10 · 14:10K. Glazowski2761290M. Malachowski361114113
LNov 21 · 19:15K. Glazowski32613851M. Malachowski44111111113
K. Glazowski10
WSep 14 · 10:30K. Glazowski1.58111211113G. Poliniewicz2.14714971WSep 14 · 09:45M. Rutkowski2.08561151K. Glazowski1.6111118113WSep 14 · 08:30K. Wisniewski2.557640K. Glazowski1.411111113LSep 14 · 07:15K. Glazowski1.95101011121J. Kuzmicz1.7512127143LSep 14 · 06:00M. Malachowski2.05116116123K. Glazowski1.65911411102WSep 14 · 04:50L. Jarocki1.92911871K. Glazowski1.7311911113WSep 14 · 03:20A. Sobel3.90116471K. Glazowski1.1871111113LSep 8 · 19:40A. Daniel1.61116136113K. Glazowski2.20911111192WSep 8 · 18:50K. Kostyk3.751111361K. Glazowski1.2513611113LSep 8 · 18:05K. Glazowski1.5311414582K. Kapik2.388111211113
M. Malachowski10
WSep 14 · 10:55M. Rutkowski1.83811681M. Malachowski1.8311711113WSep 14 · 09:20K. Kapik2.006990M. Malachowski1.661111113WSep 14 · 07:40A. Sobel2.75711471M. Malachowski1.3711911113WSep 14 · 06:50K. Wisniewski2.201013171292M. Malachowski1.6012151510113WSep 14 · 06:00M. Malachowski2.05116116123K. Glazowski1.65911411102LSep 14 · 04:25M. Malachowski1.951110117122J. Kuzmicz1.70712811143WSep 14 · 03:40L. Jarocki1.839121271M. Malachowski1.87111410113LAug 26 · 24:10M. Malachowski1.80991341K. Kapik1.91111111113WAug 25 · 23:20M. Malachowski1.611111113D. Jadam2.208780LAug 25 · 21:50M. Malachowski2.204920M. Rutkowski1.611111113
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