TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13126520
Played Sep 14Finished
Mateusz Rutkowski
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811117611811––
Michal Malachowski
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:09 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeMateusz Rutkowski to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
811117611811––
H2H Mateusz Rutkowski 24–12 Michal Malachowski Michal Malachowski has won 12 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:09What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Malachowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-12 in 36
Rutkowski
Wrong
gap of 12 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rutkowski 1683 vs Malachowski 1745
Malachowski
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rutkowski 40% vs Malachowski 80%
Malachowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rutkowski 70% vs Malachowski 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rutkowski -2 · Malachowski +4
Malachowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Malachowski) · live re-read · sealed at 36% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malachowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRutkowski 1.83 / Malachowski 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Malachowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13126520
Rutkowski1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Malachowski1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRutkowski8wins
AwayMalachowski2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRutkowski leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRutkowski100%6 of 6
AwayMalachowski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rutkowski6Malachowski4n = 10Rutkowski took 6 of 10
S2Rutkowski7Malachowski3n = 10Rutkowski took 7 of 10
S3Rutkowski7Malachowski3n = 10Rutkowski took 7 of 10
S4Rutkowski5Malachowski2n = 7Rutkowski took 5 of 7
S5Rutkowski2Malachowski1n = 3Rutkowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRutkowskiMalachowskiR − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.734.1+5.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRutkowskiMalachowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime785 / 1397 vs 417 / 78856.2%52.9%785 / 1397 vs 417 / 788Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalachowskiRutkowski 1.83/Malachowski 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Malachowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Malachowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 10:55M. Rutkowski33811681M. Malachowski4011711113
WAug 25 · 21:50M. Rutkowski331111113M. Malachowski154920
WAug 24 · 22:35M. Rutkowski45561211113M. Malachowski41111110632
WAug 21 · 22:05M. Rutkowski4311615113M. Malachowski376111371
WAug 21 · 20:05M. Rutkowski351111133M. Malachowski2797110
LAug 20 · 21:50M. Rutkowski4251191162M. Malachowski49119117113
WAug 9 · 16:55M. Rutkowski4111118113M. Malachowski32671181
WAug 8 · 16:30M. Rutkowski4171111123M. Malachowski351177101
WJul 9 · 23:15M. Rutkowski481141210113M. Malachowski48911101262
WJul 9 · 21:00M. Rutkowski361411113M. Malachowski1712320
M. Rutkowski10
LSep 14 · 09:45M. Rutkowski2.08561151K. Glazowski1.6111118113LSep 14 · 24:10D. Jadam2.389111110113M. Rutkowski1.5311551252WSep 13 · 23:45M. Rutkowski1.404111210113A. Wos2.75115101292WSep 13 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.361111113L. Pietraszko3.007890LSep 13 · 21:00M. Rutkowski2.388740F. Mlynarski1.531111113WSep 10 · 24:10M. Rutkowski1.5031112113J. Chmielowski2.501191071WSep 9 · 23:20M. Rutkowski2.001113118113K. Kapik1.7391571142WSep 9 · 21:50M. Rutkowski1.8011114113K. Staszczyk1.91661181WSep 9 · 21:25M. Rutkowski1.5341111113M. Olbrycht2.38113891WSep 9 · 24:10K. Kapik2.0091170M. Rutkowski1.731113113
M. Malachowski10
WSep 14 · 09:20K. Kapik2.006990M. Malachowski1.661111113WSep 14 · 07:40A. Sobel2.75711471M. Malachowski1.3711911113WSep 14 · 06:50K. Wisniewski2.201013171292M. Malachowski1.6012151510113WSep 14 · 06:00M. Malachowski2.05116116123K. Glazowski1.65911411102LSep 14 · 04:25M. Malachowski1.951110117122J. Kuzmicz1.70712811143WSep 14 · 03:40L. Jarocki1.839121271M. Malachowski1.87111410113LAug 26 · 24:10M. Malachowski1.80991341K. Kapik1.91111111113WAug 25 · 23:20M. Malachowski1.611111113D. Jadam2.208780LAug 25 · 21:50M. Malachowski2.204920M. Rutkowski1.611111113WAug 25 · 21:25M. Malachowski1.401111113M. Kolek2.755690
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