TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13129259
Played Sep 15Finished
Karol Wisniewski
Home
2.35
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119117911411113
Lukasz Jarocki
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:21 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeLukasz Jarocki to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
119117911411113
H2H Karol Wisniewski 67–80 Lukasz Jarocki Karol Wisniewski has won 67 of their 147 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:21What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Jarocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
67-80 in 147
Jarocki
Wrong
gap of 13 in 147, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1575 vs Jarocki 1715
Jarocki
Wrong
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 0% vs Jarocki 20%
Jarocki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 40% vs Jarocki 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -5 · Jarocki -1
Wisniewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Jarocki) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jarocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 2.35 / Jarocki 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Jarocki)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13129259
Wisniewski2.35
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 208 of 555
Down 0–1, comes back19% 68 of 350
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 212
Jarocki1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 125 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it92% 70 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it77% 91 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski6wins
AwayJarocki4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWisniewski leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski100%6 of 6
AwayJarocki100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski6Jarocki4n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S2Wisniewski7Jarocki3n = 10Wisniewski took 7 of 10
S3Wisniewski5Jarocki5n = 10split evenly
S4Wisniewski1Jarocki3n = 4Jarocki took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiJarockiW − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.234.1+1.1per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiJarockiBasisWin rate · lifetime985 / 2185 vs 822 / 146845.1%56%985 / 2185 vs 822 / 1468Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JarockiWisniewski 2.35/Jarocki 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.8%
Jarocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 05:35K. Wisniewski26631161L. Jarocki4211119113
LSep 1 · 13:00K. Wisniewski2410770L. Jarocki341211113
WAug 31 · 12:35K. Wisniewski46121211113L. Jarocki4010101371
WJul 27 · 09:45K. Wisniewski361411113L. Jarocki2912890
WJul 13 · 10:55K. Wisniewski391113153L. Jarocki28411130
WJun 10 · 11:30K. Wisniewski351311113L. Jarocki2211740
WJun 8 · 09:30K. Wisniewski57181189113L. Jarocki50166111162
WJun 8 · 05:45K. Wisniewski341211113L. Jarocki2310940
LMay 28 · 11:30K. Wisniewski312116121L. Jarocki4011411143
LMay 28 · 03:30K. Wisniewski249780L. Jarocki331111113
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 15 · 05:15K. Wisniewski2.55721171K. Glazowski1.4111118113LSep 15 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.411111113K. Wisniewski2.608640LSep 14 · 08:30K. Wisniewski2.557640K. Glazowski1.411111113LSep 14 · 06:50K. Wisniewski2.201013171292M. Malachowski1.6012151510113LSep 14 · 05:35K. Wisniewski2.38631161L. Jarocki1.5311119113LSep 14 · 04:00K. Wisniewski1.804111291A. Sobel1.8511714113LSep 14 · 03:00K. Wisniewski2.95961191J. Kuzmicz1.3211114113WSep 12 · 08:05K. Wisniewski1.8011611123G. Poliniewicz1.905119101LSep 12 · 06:25D. Solilo2.201111113K. Wisniewski1.604780WSep 12 · 05:35K. Rudomina2.55991191K. Wisniewski1.4511115113
L. Jarocki10
WSep 15 · 06:00M. Malachowski2.02411491L. Jarocki1.6511911113WSep 15 · 04:50K. Kapik2.10611111652L. Jarocki1.651191314113LSep 14 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.915570M. Malachowski1.801111113WSep 14 · 13:00L. Jarocki1.92151011113K. Glazowski1.731312991LSep 14 · 11:45L. Jarocki1.7411991192M. Rutkowski1.95611118113LSep 14 · 10:05L. Jarocki1.62114331K. Kapik2.1591111113LSep 14 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.63611461G. Poliniewicz2.0511711113WSep 14 · 08:05L. Jarocki2.16911811113J. Kuzmicz1.5711611792WSep 14 · 06:25A. Sobel2.70261191L. Jarocki1.4111118113WSep 14 · 05:35K. Wisniewski2.38631161L. Jarocki1.5311119113
Upcoming Matches
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Sep 15 · 07:15L. Jarocki1.92K. Glazowski1.73—Sep 15 · 08:30L. Jarocki1.95M. Sklensky1.74—Sep 15 · 09:45L. Jarocki2.10M. Miastowski1.60—Sep 15 · 10:30L. Jarocki1.92K. Glazowski1.73—Sep 15 · 12:10L. Jarocki1.73M. Rutkowski1.92—Sep 15 · 13:00L. Jarocki1.65M. Malachowski2.02—Sep 15 · 13:50L. Jarocki1.94M. Sklensky1.71—
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