TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13127717
Played Sep 14Finished
Lukasz Jarocki
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511711––––
Michal Malachowski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:51 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Malachowski to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
511511711––––
H2H Lukasz Jarocki 9–21 Michal Malachowski Lukasz Jarocki has won 9 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Malachowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-21 in 30
Malachowski
Correct
gap of 12 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jarocki 1729 vs Malachowski 1754
Malachowski
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jarocki 40% vs Malachowski 80%
Malachowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jarocki 50% vs Malachowski 70%
Malachowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jarocki +1 · Malachowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Malachowski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malachowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJarocki 1.91 / Malachowski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Malachowski)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13127717
Jarocki1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 60 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Malachowski1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 108 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it73% 80 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJarocki3wins
AwayMalachowski7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMalachowski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJarocki40%2 of 5
AwayMalachowski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jarocki5Malachowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Jarocki6Malachowski4n = 10Jarocki took 6 of 10
S3Jarocki5Malachowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Jarocki3Malachowski4n = 7Malachowski took 4 of 7
S5Jarocki0Malachowski4n = 4Malachowski took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJarockiMalachowskiJ − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.838.9−0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJarockiMalachowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime825 / 1472 vs 418 / 79056.1%52.9%825 / 1472 vs 418 / 790Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalachowskiJarocki 1.91/Malachowski 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Malachowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Malachowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 03:40L. Jarocki409121271M. Malachowski46111410113
WApr 23 · 15:30L. Jarocki331111113M. Malachowski219660
LApr 22 · 20:10L. Jarocki4611127972M. Malachowski496101111113
LApr 9 · 07:55L. Jarocki2911990M. Malachowski351311113
LJan 28 · 12:05L. Jarocki34145961M. Malachowski45121111113
LJan 21 · 14:10L. Jarocki4791111882M. Malachowski47119611103
WJan 8 · 12:05L. Jarocki4681111163M. Malachowski371193141
LDec 27 · 04:45L. Jarocki4111691142M. Malachowski43411116113
WDec 19 · 13:20L. Jarocki331111113M. Malachowski235990
LDec 19 · 04:30L. Jarocki3991121162M. Malachowski43114116113
L. Jarocki10
WSep 14 · 13:00L. Jarocki1.92151011113K. Glazowski1.731312991LSep 14 · 11:45L. Jarocki1.7411991192M. Rutkowski1.95611118113LSep 14 · 10:05L. Jarocki1.62114331K. Kapik2.1591111113LSep 14 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.63611461G. Poliniewicz2.0511711113WSep 14 · 08:05L. Jarocki2.16911811113J. Kuzmicz1.5711611792WSep 14 · 06:25A. Sobel2.70261191L. Jarocki1.4111118113WSep 14 · 05:35K. Wisniewski2.38631161L. Jarocki1.5311119113LSep 14 · 04:50L. Jarocki1.92911871K. Glazowski1.7311911113LSep 14 · 03:40L. Jarocki1.839121271M. Malachowski1.87111410113WSep 1 · 19:40K. Strowski2.0091171152L. Jarocki1.73117119113
M. Malachowski10
WSep 14 · 13:25M. Malachowski1.801113107113G. Poliniewicz1.90411121172LSep 14 · 12:10K. Glazowski1.64118137113M. Malachowski2.04911111182WSep 14 · 10:55M. Rutkowski1.83811681M. Malachowski1.8311711113WSep 14 · 09:20K. Kapik2.006990M. Malachowski1.661111113WSep 14 · 07:40A. Sobel2.75711471M. Malachowski1.3711911113WSep 14 · 06:50K. Wisniewski2.201013171292M. Malachowski1.6012151510113WSep 14 · 06:00M. Malachowski2.05116116123K. Glazowski1.65911411102LSep 14 · 04:25M. Malachowski1.951110117122J. Kuzmicz1.70712811143WSep 14 · 03:40L. Jarocki1.839121271M. Malachowski1.87111410113LAug 26 · 24:10M. Malachowski1.80991341K. Kapik1.91111111113
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