TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139879
Played Sep 17Finished
Petr David
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9119111171210611
Jan Zandecki
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:46 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr David above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 97 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Petr David at 58.1%
97 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 26–21 Jan Zandecki Jan Zandecki has won 21 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:46What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
David
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-21 in 47
David
Wrong
gap of 5 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1970 vs Zandecki 1902
David
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 80% vs Zandecki 60%
David
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 60% vs Zandecki 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
David +2 · Zandecki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans David) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zandecki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.67 / Zandecki 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (David)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13139879
David1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 229 of 341
Up 2–0, closes it97% 118 of 122
Up 1–0, closes it83% 172 of 208
Zandecki2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 65 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid8wins
AwayZandecki2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid83.3%5 of 6
AwayZandecki25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David6Zandecki4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S2David7Zandecki3n = 10David took 7 of 10
S3David6Zandecki4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S4David6Zandecki2n = 8David took 6 of 8
S5David2Zandecki1n = 3David took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidZandeckiD − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.836.2+5.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime651 / 988 vs 465 / 83765.9%55.6%651 / 988 vs 465 / 837Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.67/Zandecki 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zandecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 5 · 09:20P. David49811118113J. Zandecki4011741172
LAug 5 · 06:55P. David4471171182J. Zandecki43117113113
WJun 30 · 12:30P. David331111113J. Zandecki218670
WJun 30 · 08:30P. David3711114113J. Zandecki36971191
LApr 16 · 14:30P. David33114991J. Zandecki3961111113
WApr 16 · 05:25P. David4181111113J. Zandecki30114691
WMar 10 · 12:35P. David4012611113J. Zandecki361011871
WMar 10 · 05:20P. David5011119193J. Zandecki429511171
WFeb 22 · 05:20P. David549111111123J. Zandecki45111338102
WFeb 12 · 13:25P. David371511113J. Zandecki3013890
P. David10
WSep 17 · 04:10P. David1.8071111113J. Kosowski1.91117971WSep 17 · 03:00P. David1.619111111113G. Felkel2.2011481392LSep 16 · 14:10P. David1.2010880J. Kuzmicz4.331211113WSep 16 · 12:30M. Miastowski3.0051191362P. David1.361171111113WSep 16 · 11:40G. Felkel2.2011370P. David1.611311113LSep 16 · 10:50P. David1.25911891K. Wloczko3.7511911113WSep 16 · 09:40P. David1.571011117113M. Jadczyk2.2512871192WSep 16 · 08:30M. Miastowski3.25411761P. David1.3311911113LSep 16 · 07:20P. David1.2512770J. Kuzmicz3.751411113LSep 16 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.001711113P. David1.7315870
J. Zandecki10
LSep 17 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.7311911113J. Zandecki2.00711661LSep 17 · 04:55J. Zandecki1.8389100A. Grela1.831111123WSep 17 · 03:45J. Zandecki1.8311114113M. Jadczyk1.83571161WSep 13 · 14:10J. Zandecki1.61111189113K. Petas2.2058111152LSep 13 · 12:30G. Adamiak2.6361111113J. Zandecki1.44114961WSep 13 · 11:40A. Dosz1.80111281092J. Zandecki1.917101112113WSep 13 · 10:50J. Zandecki1.80119117113S. Dosz1.9161171182LSep 13 · 09:40J. Zandecki1.9111781192M. Jadczyk1.80511117113WSep 13 · 08:30G. Adamiak2.50661121J. Zandecki1.5011119113LSep 13 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.57911111352K. Petas2.25117515113
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