TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139334
Played Sep 16Finished
Zdenek Zahradka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119811811911––
Milan Dvorak
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Dvorak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Zahradka above · Milan Dvorak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Milan Dvorak at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zahradka 22–17 Milan Dvorak Milan Dvorak has won 17 of their 39 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 08:27What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dvorak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-17 in 39
Zahradka
Wrong
gap of 5 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1427 vs Dvorak 1504
Dvorak
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 60% vs Dvorak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 40% vs Dvorak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka -1 · Dvorak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dvorak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 1.83 / Dvorak 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dvorak)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13139334
Zahradka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Dvorak1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka6wins
AwayDvorak4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka50%3 of 6
AwayDvorak25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka6Dvorak4n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S2Zahradka2Dvorak8n = 10Dvorak took 8 of 10
S3Zahradka5Dvorak5n = 10split evenly
S4Zahradka4Dvorak4n = 8split evenly
S5Zahradka4Dvorak0n = 4Zahradka took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaDvorakZ − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.940.4−2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime410 / 830 vs 164 / 34349.4%47.8%410 / 830 vs 164 / 343Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakZahradka 1.83/Dvorak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 18:00Z. Zahradka421214971M. Dvorak48101611113
WAug 17 · 14:20Z. Zahradka42116311113M. Dvorak4691111782
LJul 23 · 16:20Z. Zahradka1422100M. Dvorak341111123
WJun 30 · 14:20Z. Zahradka531081311113M. Dvorak52121111992
WJun 24 · 15:50Z. Zahradka43111011113M. Dvorak37912791
WJun 8 · 18:00Z. Zahradka351311113M. Dvorak2311480
LJun 8 · 16:25Z. Zahradka26114831M. Dvorak4071111113
WJun 5 · 16:50Z. Zahradka491011116113M. Dvorak4012871122
WMay 27 · 17:55Z. Zahradka48871111113M. Dvorak4211114972
LMay 27 · 15:50Z. Zahradka27114481M. Dvorak4291111113
Z. Zahradka10
LSep 16 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.0081215842J. Dvorak1.7311101311113LSep 14 · 17:50Z. Zahradka3.00101191182D. Sykora1.36127118113WSep 14 · 16:50Z. Zahradka1.5011811113D. Sochor2.50811791WSep 14 · 15:20D. Sykora1.30811771Z. Zahradka3.4011811113WSep 14 · 14:50J. Hendrych2.00111241072Z. Zahradka1.734101112113LSep 10 · 17:29Z. Zahradka2.501191011112M. Dolezal1.50611128133LSep 10 · 16:50J. Hendrych2.101211115113Z. Zahradka1.6714581172WSep 10 · 15:50Z. Zahradka2.751111113M. Dolezal1.404730LSep 10 · 14:20L. Moravec1.8311119113Z. Zahradka1.83731161LSep 8 · 17:23J. Dvorak1.67111158123Z. Zahradka2.10981111102
M. Dvorak10
LSep 11 · 18:25M. Dvorak1.78311961A. Kral1.9211911113WSep 11 · 16:55M. Dvorak1.57491111113L. Moravec2.2511114752WSep 11 · 15:55M. Dvorak2.201110138113A. Kral1.61512111152WSep 11 · 14:55M. Dvorak2.2011117113D. Sochor1.61961171LSep 9 · 18:05M. Dvorak1.8011971182J. Dvorak1.91811119113LSep 9 · 16:55M. Beran1.6711118123M. Dvorak2.108611101LSep 9 · 16:25D. Sykora1.83111211113M. Dvorak1.83814881WSep 9 · 15:25M. Dvorak1.801111810113J. Dvorak1.9197111272LSep 4 · 18:32J. Melichar1.871111113M. Dvorak1.839740WSep 4 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.0031080M. Dvorak1.731112113
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