TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108602
Played Sep 10Finished
Jan Hendrych
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1214115118511117
Zdenek Zahradka
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Hendrych to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Hendrych above · Zdenek Zahradka below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 95 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jan Hendrych at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Jan Hendrych 27–45 Zdenek Zahradka Jan Hendrych has won 27 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:15What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zahradka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-45 in 72
Zahradka
Wrong
gap of 18 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hendrych 1568 vs Zahradka 1371
Hendrych
Correct
both rated, 197 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hendrych 60% vs Zahradka 20%
Hendrych
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hendrych 40% vs Zahradka 20%
Hendrych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hendrych +2 · Zahradka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zahradka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHendrych 2.10 / Zahradka 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hendrych)+1.8pp
TT Cup · #13108602
Hendrych2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 59 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Zahradka1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 122 of 214
Up 2–0, closes it87% 53 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it71% 83 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHendrych3wins
AwayZahradka7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHendrych66.7%2 of 3
AwayZahradka85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hendrych3Zahradka7n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S2Hendrych4Zahradka6n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S3Hendrych4Zahradka6n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S4Hendrych2Zahradka4n = 6Zahradka took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHendrychZahradkaH − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.936.5−3.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHendrychZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 523 vs 417 / 83850.9%49.8%266 / 523 vs 417 / 838Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaHendrych 2.10/Zahradka 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hendrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 14:20J. Hendrych—1111113Z. Zahradka—4890
LAug 20 · 14:20J. Hendrych—711771Z. Zahradka—11611113
LAug 7 · 17:54J. Hendrych—7580Z. Zahradka—1111113
WAug 7 · 15:50J. Hendrych—11811123Z. Zahradka—7115101
LJul 24 · 16:50J. Hendrych—61250Z. Zahradka—1114113
LJul 10 · 18:30J. Hendrych—7990Z. Zahradka—1111113
LJul 10 · 16:55J. Hendrych—12116682Z. Zahradka—1071111113
WJun 30 · 18:00J. Hendrych—811111113Z. Zahradka—11117532
LJun 30 · 15:50J. Hendrych—611891Z. Zahradka—11711113
LJun 24 · 16:20J. Hendrych—5911101Z. Zahradka—11119123
J. Hendrych10
WSep 10 · 15:20L. Moravec2.25511281J. Hendrych1.5711211113WSep 10 · 14:50M. Dolezal2.257990J. Hendrych1.571111113LSep 8 · 17:55J. Hendrych1.95811981P. Moravec1.7511911113WSep 8 · 16:50P. Moravec1.83871131J. Hendrych1.8311117113LSep 8 · 15:50J. Hendrych2.0051111872J. Dvorak1.73116911113WSep 8 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.574890J. Hendrych2.251111113LAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752LAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151LAug 31 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83111110113J. Hendrych1.83571251LAug 31 · 15:25J. Hendrych1.679790J. Dvorak2.101111113
Z. Zahradka10
LSep 10 · 17:29Z. Zahradka2.501191011112M. Dolezal1.50611128133WSep 10 · 15:50Z. Zahradka2.751111113M. Dolezal1.404730LSep 10 · 14:20L. Moravec1.8311119113Z. Zahradka1.83731161LSep 8 · 17:23J. Dvorak1.67111158123Z. Zahradka2.10981111102LSep 8 · 16:20Z. Zahradka2.50671191J. Dvorak1.5011113113LSep 8 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.7510580P. Moravec1.401211113LSep 8 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.574890J. Hendrych2.251111113WSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113LSep 6 · 17:25J. Melichar1.44117117113Z. Zahradka2.6381151192LSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113
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