TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098120
Played Sep 8Finished
Petr Moravec
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711117311––
Jan Hendrych
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Moravec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Moravec above · Jan Hendrych below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 69 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Petr Moravec at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Petr Moravec 10–13 Jan Hendrych Petr Moravec has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:12What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hendrych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-13 in 23
Hendrych
Correct
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1586 vs Hendrych 1514
Moravec
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 80% vs Hendrych 20%
Moravec
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 70% vs Hendrych 40%
Moravec
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +4 · Hendrych -1
Moravec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hendrych form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.83 / Hendrych 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Moravec)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13098120
Moravec1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Hendrych1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec4wins
AwayHendrych6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHendrych leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec40%2 of 5
AwayHendrych60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec5Hendrych5n = 10split evenly
S2Moravec5Hendrych5n = 10split evenly
S3Moravec4Hendrych6n = 10Hendrych took 6 of 10
S4Moravec3Hendrych6n = 9Hendrych took 6 of 9
S5Moravec3Hendrych3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecHendrychM − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.743.4−0.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecHendrychBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 204 vs 265 / 52452%50.6%106 / 204 vs 265 / 524Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.83/Hendrych 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hendrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 17:55P. Moravec—1161110113J. Hendrych—51121232
LAug 20 · 15:20P. Moravec—1211108122J. Hendrych—1081211143
LAug 17 · 15:25P. Moravec—1198111J. Hendrych—71111133
WAug 11 · 15:25P. Moravec—71114113J. Hendrych—1171291
LAug 3 · 18:28P. Moravec—8111181J. Hendrych—11913113
WAug 3 · 17:25P. Moravec—121195113J. Hendrych—107111182
LJul 27 · 15:50P. Moravec—42111182J. Hendrych—111186113
WJul 22 · 18:34P. Moravec—1291112113J. Hendrych—141141082
LJul 22 · 16:55P. Moravec—10980J. Hendrych—1211113
LJun 19 · 16:55P. Moravec—11118902J. Hendrych—941111113
P. Moravec10
WSep 8 · 17:55J. Hendrych1.95811981P. Moravec1.7511911113WSep 8 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.7510580P. Moravec1.401211113WSep 8 · 14:50J. Dvorak3.001211941P. Moravec1.3614411113WSep 3 · 18:23J. Hrncir1.9011691372P. Moravec1.806111111113WSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113LSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142WSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192WSep 1 · 01:50P. Moravec2.501112113M. Beran1.5061080LSep 1 · 24:20J. Cerny2.0014119113P. Moravec1.731251151LAug 31 · 17:49J. Cerny2.001111113P. Moravec1.738590
J. Hendrych10
LSep 8 · 17:55J. Hendrych1.95811981P. Moravec1.7511911113LSep 8 · 15:50J. Hendrych2.0051111872J. Dvorak1.73116911113WSep 8 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.574890J. Hendrych2.251111113LAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752LAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151LAug 31 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83111110113J. Hendrych1.83571251LAug 31 · 15:25J. Hendrych1.679790J. Dvorak2.101111113LAug 28 · 18:47J. Hendrych1.806111091A. Langer1.9011912113WAug 28 · 16:20J. Hendrych1.9110111614113M. Sochor1.80126141692WAug 28 · 15:20J. Hendrych2.75614711113M. Sulc1.40111211692
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