TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13051262
Played Aug 31Finished
Jan Hendrych
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711911––––
Jakub Dvorak
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Hendrych to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Hendrych above · Jakub Dvorak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jan Hendrych at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jan Hendrych 13–13 Jakub Dvorak Dead even across their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:34What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hendrych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-13 in 26
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hendrych 1528 vs Dvorak 1573
Dvorak
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hendrych 80% vs Dvorak 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hendrych 70% vs Dvorak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hendrych -1 · Dvorak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hendrych) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHendrych 1.67 / Dvorak 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Hendrych)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13051262
Hendrych1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 51 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Dvorak2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 67 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHendrych6wins
AwayDvorak4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHendrych leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHendrych100%5 of 5
AwayDvorak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hendrych5Dvorak5n = 10split evenly
S2Hendrych4Dvorak6n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S3Hendrych4Dvorak6n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S4Hendrych4Dvorak2n = 6Hendrych took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHendrychDvorakH − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.135.6−0.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHendrychDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 538 vs 169 / 34650.4%48.8%271 / 538 vs 169 / 346Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HendrychHendrych 1.67/Dvorak 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Hendrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 15:25J. Hendrych—9790J. Dvorak—1111113
WAug 25 · 15:25J. Hendrych—11112113J. Dvorak—881151
WAug 20 · 16:20J. Hendrych—1191112133J. Dvorak—9111310112
LJul 24 · 17:20J. Hendrych—34100J. Dvorak—1111123
WJul 24 · 14:50J. Hendrych—1112113J. Dvorak—91040
LJun 17 · 16:20J. Hendrych—8890J. Dvorak—1111113
LMay 20 · 16:55J. Hendrych—841191J. Dvorak—11116113
WMay 11 · 18:45J. Hendrych—611117133J. Dvorak—117311112
WMay 11 · 15:55J. Hendrych—11114113J. Dvorak—891191
WMay 5 · 17:25J. Hendrych—11911113J. Dvorak—211871
J. Hendrych10
LAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752LAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151LAug 31 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83111110113J. Hendrych1.83571251LAug 28 · 18:47J. Hendrych1.806111091A. Langer1.9011912113WAug 28 · 16:20J. Hendrych1.9110111614113M. Sochor1.80126141692WAug 28 · 15:20J. Hendrych2.75614711113M. Sulc1.40111211692WAug 28 · 14:20J. Hendrych2.201111113A. Langer1.619830WAug 25 · 18:30L. Moravec1.9097100J. Hendrych1.801111123WAug 25 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.00631171J. Hendrych1.7311119113LAug 25 · 16:25L. Moravec2.25117711113J. Hendrych1.5731111882
J. Dvorak10
LSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671LSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113WSep 6 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.831111113J. Melichar1.837780WSep 6 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.80118612123Z. Zahradka1.914111110102LSep 5 · 18:35J. Dvorak1.538111011152M. Filipek2.38115129173LSep 5 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.839480D. Tichy1.831111113WSep 5 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.4012118113M. Filipek2.751071171WSep 5 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.83115118113Z. Zahradka1.8341171192WAug 31 · 18:30J. Dvorak2.001111113J. Melichar1.732220WAug 31 · 17:25J. Dvorak2.101111163J. Melichar1.6756140
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