TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13035030
Played Aug 28Finished
Jan Hendrych
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111412711116119
Martin Sulc
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:19 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Sulc to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Hendrych above · Martin Sulc below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 98 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Martin Sulc at 67.9%
98 points played in total.
H2H Jan Hendrych 13–22 Martin Sulc Jan Hendrych has won 13 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:19What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sulc
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-22 in 35
Sulc
Wrong
gap of 9 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hendrych 1624 vs Sulc 1583
Hendrych
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hendrych 80% vs Sulc 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hendrych 70% vs Sulc 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hendrych +3 · Sulc +2
Hendrych
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Sulc) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hendrych form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHendrych 2.75 / Sulc 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Sulc)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13035030
Hendrych2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 58 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Sulc1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 65 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it73% 44 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHendrych1wins
AwaySulc9wins
Sulc leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHendrychn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySulc100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hendrych2Sulc8n = 10Sulc took 8 of 10
S2Hendrych2Sulc8n = 10Sulc took 8 of 10
S3Hendrych2Sulc8n = 10Sulc took 8 of 10
S4Hendrych0Sulc3n = 3Sulc took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricHendrychSulcH − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match24.534.3−9.8per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHendrychSulcBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 538 vs 334 / 63950.9%52.3%274 / 538 vs 334 / 639Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulcHendrych 2.75/Sulc 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Sulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hendrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 22 · 18:55J. Hendrych—51090M. Sulc—1112113
LJan 7 · 21:20J. Hendrych—8850M. Sulc—1111113
LDec 16 · 23:25J. Hendrych—9650M. Sulc—1111113
LDec 16 · 21:25J. Hendrych—461181M. Sulc—11114113
LDec 7 · 21:20J. Hendrych—811781M. Sulc—11811103
LDec 2 · 21:20J. Hendrych—8640M. Sulc—1111113
LOct 21 · 21:35J. Hendrych—6460M. Sulc—1111113
WOct 21 · 19:50J. Hendrych—1711113M. Sulc—15740
LOct 16 · 18:20J. Hendrych—110771M. Sulc—91111113
LOct 15 · 18:50J. Hendrych—3790M. Sulc—1111103
J. Hendrych10
LAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752LAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151LAug 31 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83111110113J. Hendrych1.83571251LAug 31 · 15:25J. Hendrych1.679790J. Dvorak2.101111113LAug 28 · 18:47J. Hendrych1.806111091A. Langer1.9011912113WAug 28 · 16:20J. Hendrych1.9110111614113M. Sochor1.80126141692WAug 28 · 14:20J. Hendrych2.201111113A. Langer1.619830WAug 25 · 18:30L. Moravec1.9097100J. Hendrych1.801111123WAug 25 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.00631171J. Hendrych1.7311119113LAug 25 · 16:25L. Moravec2.25117711113J. Hendrych1.5731111882
M. Sulc10
LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102LSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780LSep 2 · 19:50M. Brozek1.4012118113M. Sulc2.751061191LSep 2 · 18:50M. Sulc2.20125571M. Kulisek1.61101111113LAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641LAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr2.101113113M. Sulc1.6781160
Upcoming Matches
J. Hendrych
Nothing scheduled
M. Sulc
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.