TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13034867
Played Aug 28Finished
Jan Hendrych
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118113––––
Ales Langer
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAles Langer to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Hendrych above · Ales Langer below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 53 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Ales Langer at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jan Hendrych 1–1 Ales Langer Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:30What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Langer
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hendrych 1637 vs Langer 1612
Hendrych
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hendrych 60% vs Langer 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hendrych 60% vs Langer 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hendrych +2 · Langer -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Langer) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hendrych form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHendrych 2.20 / Langer 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Langer)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13034867
Hendrych2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 58 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Langer1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 68 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it72% 46 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHendrych1wins
AwayLanger1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHendrychLangerH − LBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.536.5+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHendrychLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 537 vs 252 / 51351%49.1%274 / 537 vs 252 / 513Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerHendrych 2.20/Langer 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hendrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 28 · 14:20J. Hendrych—1111113A. Langer—9830
LOct 21 · 18:50J. Hendrych—813611102A. Langer—1111118123
J. Hendrych10
LAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752LAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151LAug 31 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83111110113J. Hendrych1.83571251LAug 31 · 15:25J. Hendrych1.679790J. Dvorak2.101111113LAug 28 · 18:47J. Hendrych1.806111091A. Langer1.9011912113WAug 28 · 16:20J. Hendrych1.9110111614113M. Sochor1.80126141692WAug 28 · 15:20J. Hendrych2.75614711113M. Sulc1.40111211692WAug 25 · 18:30L. Moravec1.9097100J. Hendrych1.801111123WAug 25 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.00631171J. Hendrych1.7311119113LAug 25 · 16:25L. Moravec2.25117711113J. Hendrych1.5731111882
A. Langer10
WSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982WSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer2.0011711113O. Fiklik1.73911531LSep 4 · 11:20A. Langer2.258116111D. Hyza1.5711911133LSep 4 · 10:20A. Langer2.5058100M. Brozek1.501111123WSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391WSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 11:20A. Langer2.258240J. Vonasek1.571111113LSep 2 · 10:20A. Langer2.3871181142A. Rek1.53113117113LSep 1 · 14:05O. Fiklik1.68713611113A. Langer2.05111111692WAug 28 · 18:47J. Hendrych1.806111091A. Langer1.9011912113
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