TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098067
Played Sep 8Finished
Zdenek Zahradka
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012511811––––
Petr Moravec
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:52 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timePetr Moravec to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Zahradka above · Petr Moravec below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Petr Moravec at 70.3%
57 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zahradka 3–6 Petr Moravec Zdenek Zahradka has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:52What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Moravec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Moravec
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1379 vs Moravec 1571
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 192 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 20% vs Moravec 80%
Moravec
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 20% vs Moravec 60%
Moravec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka -1 · Moravec +3
Moravec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 2.75 / Moravec 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Moravec)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13098067
Zahradka2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 79 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Moravec1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 41 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it74% 28 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeZahradka3wins
AwayMoravec6wins
3 of 9 to a deciderMoravec leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka40%2 of 5
AwayMoravec75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka5Moravec4n = 9Zahradka took 5 of 9
S2Zahradka4Moravec5n = 9Moravec took 5 of 9
S3Zahradka3Moravec6n = 9Moravec took 6 of 9
S4Zahradka4Moravec3n = 7Zahradka took 4 of 7
S5Zahradka0Moravec3n = 3Moravec took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricZahradkaMoravecZ − MBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match40.142.0−1.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime417 / 835 vs 105 / 20349.9%51.7%417 / 835 vs 105 / 203Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecZahradka 2.75/Moravec 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 20 · 16:50Z. Zahradka—11480P. Moravec—1311113
LJul 28 · 16:50Z. Zahradka—12690P. Moravec—1411113
LJul 18 · 17:59Z. Zahradka—101351392P. Moravec—12111111113
LJul 18 · 16:55Z. Zahradka—118891P. Moravec—81111113
LJul 13 · 08:25Z. Zahradka—11115392P. Moravec—471111113
WMay 28 · 15:55Z. Zahradka—131111113P. Moravec—1131381
WJan 6 · 19:30Z. Zahradka—11911123P. Moravec—9117101
WJan 6 · 18:25Z. Zahradka—51114113P. Moravec—1171291
LOct 21 · 14:50Z. Zahradka—1110111682P. Moravec—812618113
Z. Zahradka10
LSep 8 · 16:20Z. Zahradka2.50671191J. Dvorak1.5011113113LSep 8 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.574890J. Hendrych2.251111113WSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113LSep 6 · 17:25J. Melichar1.44117117113Z. Zahradka2.6381151192LSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.80118612123Z. Zahradka1.914111110102LSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123LSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101WSep 5 · 16:25Z. Zahradka2.25111111113D. Tichy1.57913441LSep 5 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.83115118113Z. Zahradka1.8341171192
P. Moravec10
WSep 8 · 14:50J. Dvorak3.001211941P. Moravec1.3614411113WSep 3 · 18:23J. Hrncir1.9011691372P. Moravec1.806111111113WSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113LSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142WSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192WSep 1 · 01:50P. Moravec2.501112113M. Beran1.5061080LSep 1 · 24:20J. Cerny2.0014119113P. Moravec1.731251151LAug 31 · 17:49J. Cerny2.001111113P. Moravec1.738590WAug 31 · 14:50D. Tichy2.0091171162P. Moravec1.73116118113LAug 24 · 18:39M. Sulc1.441111108113P. Moravec2.6367121152
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