TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097619
Played Sep 8Finished
Zdenek Zahradka
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411811911––––
Jan Hendrych
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:08 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeZdenek Zahradka to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZdenek Zahradka above · Jan Hendrych below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Zdenek Zahradka at 56.8%
54 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zahradka 43–26 Jan Hendrych Jan Hendrych has won 26 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:08What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Zahradka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-26 in 69
Zahradka
Wrong
gap of 17 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1388 vs Hendrych 1528
Hendrych
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 20% vs Hendrych 0%
Zahradka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 20% vs Hendrych 50%
Hendrych
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka +1 · Hendrych -5
Hendrych
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Zahradka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hendrych form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 1.57 / Hendrych 2.25
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Zahradka)-4.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13097619
Zahradka1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 122 of 215
Up 2–0, closes it87% 53 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it71% 83 of 117
Hendrych2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 60 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka8wins
AwayHendrych2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka85.7%6 of 7
AwayHendrych33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka7Hendrych3n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S2Zahradka6Hendrych4n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S3Zahradka6Hendrych4n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S4Zahradka6Hendrych2n = 8Zahradka took 6 of 8
S5Zahradka2Hendrych1n = 3Zahradka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaHendrychZ − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.735.0+5.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaHendrychBasisWin rate · lifetime420 / 838 vs 271 / 53850.1%50.4%420 / 838 vs 271 / 538Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaZahradka 1.57/Hendrych 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hendrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 15:50Z. Zahradka—7115101J. Hendrych—11811123
WJul 24 · 16:50Z. Zahradka—1114113J. Hendrych—61250
WJul 10 · 18:30Z. Zahradka—1111113J. Hendrych—7990
WJul 10 · 16:55Z. Zahradka—1071111113J. Hendrych—12116682
LJun 30 · 18:00Z. Zahradka—11117532J. Hendrych—811111113
WJun 30 · 15:50Z. Zahradka—11711113J. Hendrych—611891
WJun 24 · 16:20Z. Zahradka—11119123J. Hendrych—5911101
WJun 17 · 17:20Z. Zahradka—111111113J. Hendrych—313941
WJun 17 · 15:20Z. Zahradka—71211113J. Hendrych—1110491
WMay 27 · 14:50Z. Zahradka—118911113J. Hendrych—91111572
Z. Zahradka10
LSep 8 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.7510580P. Moravec1.401211113WSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113LSep 6 · 17:25J. Melichar1.44117117113Z. Zahradka2.6381151192LSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.80118612123Z. Zahradka1.914111110102LSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123LSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101WSep 5 · 16:25Z. Zahradka2.25111111113D. Tichy1.57913441LSep 5 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.83115118113Z. Zahradka1.8341171192LSep 4 · 18:00Z. Zahradka1.6111911592R. Jamrich2.20711811113
J. Hendrych10
LAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752LAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151LAug 31 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83111110113J. Hendrych1.83571251LAug 31 · 15:25J. Hendrych1.679790J. Dvorak2.101111113LAug 28 · 18:47J. Hendrych1.806111091A. Langer1.9011912113WAug 28 · 16:20J. Hendrych1.9110111614113M. Sochor1.80126141692WAug 28 · 15:20J. Hendrych2.75614711113M. Sulc1.40111211692WAug 28 · 14:20J. Hendrych2.201111113A. Langer1.619830WAug 25 · 18:30L. Moravec1.9097100J. Hendrych1.801111123WAug 25 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.00631171J. Hendrych1.7311119113
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