TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098051
Played Sep 8Finished
Jan Hendrych
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511116119811711
Jakub Dvorak
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Dvorak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Hendrych above · Jakub Dvorak below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Dvorak at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jan Hendrych 13–13 Jakub Dvorak Dead even across their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dvorak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-13 in 26
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hendrych 1537 vs Dvorak 1498
Hendrych
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hendrych 20% vs Dvorak 40%
Dvorak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hendrych 50% vs Dvorak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hendrych +1 · Dvorak -3
Dvorak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dvorak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHendrych 2.00 / Dvorak 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dvorak)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13098051
Hendrych2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 60 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Dvorak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 29 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 22 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHendrych6wins
AwayDvorak4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHendrych leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHendrych100%5 of 5
AwayDvorak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hendrych5Dvorak5n = 10split evenly
S2Hendrych4Dvorak6n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S3Hendrych4Dvorak6n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S4Hendrych4Dvorak2n = 6Hendrych took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHendrychDvorakH − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.135.6−0.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHendrychDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 523 vs 170 / 35150.7%48.4%265 / 523 vs 170 / 351Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakHendrych 2.00/Dvorak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 15:25J. Hendrych—9790J. Dvorak—1111113
WAug 25 · 15:25J. Hendrych—11112113J. Dvorak—881151
WAug 20 · 16:20J. Hendrych—1191112133J. Dvorak—9111310112
LJul 24 · 17:20J. Hendrych—34100J. Dvorak—1111123
WJul 24 · 14:50J. Hendrych—1112113J. Dvorak—91040
LJun 17 · 16:20J. Hendrych—8890J. Dvorak—1111113
LMay 20 · 16:55J. Hendrych—841191J. Dvorak—11116113
WMay 11 · 18:45J. Hendrych—611117133J. Dvorak—117311112
WMay 11 · 15:55J. Hendrych—11114113J. Dvorak—891191
WMay 5 · 17:25J. Hendrych—11911113J. Dvorak—211871
J. Hendrych10
LSep 8 · 17:55J. Hendrych1.95811981P. Moravec1.7511911113WSep 8 · 16:50P. Moravec1.83871131J. Hendrych1.8311117113WSep 8 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.574890J. Hendrych2.251111113LAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752LAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151LAug 31 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83111110113J. Hendrych1.83571251LAug 31 · 15:25J. Hendrych1.679790J. Dvorak2.101111113LAug 28 · 18:47J. Hendrych1.806111091A. Langer1.9011912113WAug 28 · 16:20J. Hendrych1.9110111614113M. Sochor1.80126141692WAug 28 · 15:20J. Hendrych2.75614711113M. Sulc1.40111211692
J. Dvorak10
WSep 8 · 17:23J. Dvorak1.67111158123Z. Zahradka2.10981111102WSep 8 · 16:20Z. Zahradka2.50671191J. Dvorak1.5011113113LSep 8 · 14:50J. Dvorak3.001211941P. Moravec1.3614411113LSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671LSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113WSep 6 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.831111113J. Melichar1.837780WSep 6 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.80118612123Z. Zahradka1.914111110102LSep 5 · 18:35J. Dvorak1.538111011152M. Filipek2.38115129173LSep 5 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.839480D. Tichy1.831111113WAug 31 · 15:25J. Hendrych1.679790J. Dvorak2.101111113
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