TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108357
Played Sep 10Finished
Martin Dolezal
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911911––––
Jan Hendrych
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Dolezal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Dolezal above · Jan Hendrych below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Martin Dolezal at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Martin Dolezal 8–15 Jan Hendrych Martin Dolezal has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:12What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hendrych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-15 in 23
Hendrych
Correct
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1514 vs Hendrych 1542
Hendrych
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 60% vs Hendrych 40%
Dolezal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 60% vs Hendrych 30%
Dolezal
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal -1 · Hendrych -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hendrych) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hendrych form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 2.25 / Hendrych 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Hendrych)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13108357
Dolezal2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 14 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Hendrych1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 47 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 32 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDolezal3wins
AwayHendrych7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHendrych leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal50%3 of 6
AwayHendrych100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal6Hendrych4n = 10Dolezal took 6 of 10
S2Dolezal5Hendrych5n = 10split evenly
S3Dolezal2Hendrych8n = 10Hendrych took 8 of 10
S4Dolezal3Hendrych6n = 9Hendrych took 6 of 9
S5Dolezal2Hendrych3n = 5Hendrych took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDolezalHendrychD − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.643.4−3.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalHendrychBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 300 vs 266 / 52650%50.6%150 / 300 vs 266 / 526Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HendrychDolezal 2.25/Hendrych 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Hendrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hendrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 20 · 14:55M. Dolezal—11115113J. Hendrych—491171
LMay 6 · 22:30M. Dolezal—11491182J. Hendrych—811119113
LMay 6 · 21:25M. Dolezal—114781J. Hendrych—91111113
LMay 5 · 14:55M. Dolezal—101321162J. Hendrych—1211112113
LMar 17 · 19:04M. Dolezal—791151J. Hendrych—1111793
LMar 17 · 17:20M. Dolezal—4670J. Hendrych—1111113
WSep 25 · 10:05M. Dolezal—1111711113J. Hendrych—89111382
LSep 25 · 07:20M. Dolezal—125871J. Hendrych—101111113
LSep 15 · 08:25M. Dolezal—1111111292J. Hendrych—135514113
WSep 10 · 15:50M. Dolezal—1411129113J. Hendrych—129141172
M. Dolezal10
LSep 10 · 15:50Z. Zahradka2.751111113M. Dolezal1.404730LJul 8 · 20:14J. Senk2.10101111113M. Dolezal1.67124841WMay 28 · 18:35Z. Zahradka2.50781141M. Dolezal1.5011118113LMay 28 · 17:25P. Moravec1.6711511113M. Dolezal2.10911761WMay 28 · 16:25M. Dolezal1.83891311113J. Dvorak1.83111111682WMay 28 · 14:55Z. Zahradka2.5010711101M. Dolezal1.5012119123WMay 28 · 14:40M. Dolezal1.33119118113M. Filipek3.2561161172WMay 28 · 13:25M. Filipek3.25118391M. Dolezal1.3391111113LMay 28 · 12:25M. Dolezal2.00119711O. Varecka1.7381111113WMay 28 · 10:55L. Moravec2.25157871M. Dolezal1.57131111113
J. Hendrych10
WSep 10 · 15:20L. Moravec2.25511281J. Hendrych1.5711211113LSep 8 · 17:55J. Hendrych1.95811981P. Moravec1.7511911113WSep 8 · 16:50P. Moravec1.83871131J. Hendrych1.8311117113LSep 8 · 15:50J. Hendrych2.0051111872J. Dvorak1.73116911113WSep 8 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.574890J. Hendrych2.251111113LAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752LAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151LAug 31 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83111110113J. Hendrych1.83571251LAug 31 · 15:25J. Hendrych1.679790J. Dvorak2.101111113LAug 28 · 18:47J. Hendrych1.806111091A. Langer1.9011912113
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