TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11955679
Played May 28Finished
Martin Dolezal
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8119111311116118
Jakub Dvorak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMartin Dolezal above · Jakub Dvorak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 99 set 5, 11-8
99 points played in total.
H2H Martin Dolezal 6–4 Jakub Dvorak Jakub Dvorak has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Dvorak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.83 / Dvorak 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Dvorak)+4.5pp
TT Cup · #11955679
Dolezal1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Dvorak1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDolezal6wins
AwayDvorak4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal80%4 of 5
AwayDvorak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal5Dvorak5n = 10split evenly
S2Dolezal4Dvorak6n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S3Dolezal7Dvorak3n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S4Dolezal5Dvorak3n = 8Dolezal took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDolezalDvorakDolezal − DvorakBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.235.2+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 473 vs 211 / 41448.4%51%229 / 473 vs 211 / 414Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakDolezal 1.83/Dvorak 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 20 · 18:30M. Dolezal—2J. Dvorak—3
WMay 20 · 16:25M. Dolezal—3J. Dvorak—0
LMay 5 · 18:00M. Dolezal—0J. Dvorak—3
LMay 5 · 15:55M. Dolezal—1J. Dvorak—3
LApr 12 · 07:25M. Dolezal—1J. Dvorak—3
WMar 3 · 17:20M. Dolezal—3J. Dvorak—1
WAug 11 · 15:50M. Dolezal—3J. Dvorak—1
WJul 15 · 15:10M. Dolezal—3J. Dvorak—2
WApr 13 · 10:35M. Dolezal—3J. Dvorak—1
WApr 13 · 09:25M. Dolezal—3J. Dvorak—1
M. Dolezal10
LSep 10 · 15:50Z. Zahradka2.751111113M. Dolezal1.404730LSep 10 · 14:50M. Dolezal2.257990J. Hendrych1.571111113LJul 8 · 20:14J. Senk2.10101111113M. Dolezal1.67124841WMay 28 · 18:35Z. Zahradka2.50781141M. Dolezal1.5011118113LMay 28 · 17:25P. Moravec1.6711511113M. Dolezal2.10911761WMay 28 · 14:55Z. Zahradka2.5010711101M. Dolezal1.5012119123WMay 28 · 14:40M. Dolezal1.33119118113M. Filipek3.2561161172WMay 28 · 13:25M. Filipek3.25118391M. Dolezal1.3391111113LMay 28 · 12:25M. Dolezal2.00119711O. Varecka1.7381111113WMay 28 · 10:55L. Moravec2.25157871M. Dolezal1.57131111113
J. Dvorak10
WSep 9 · 18:05M. Dvorak1.8011971182J. Dvorak1.91811119113LSep 9 · 17:25J. Dvorak3.0087111182D. Sykora1.36111187113LSep 9 · 15:55M. Beran1.7391111113J. Dvorak2.00115141LSep 9 · 15:25M. Dvorak1.801111810113J. Dvorak1.9197111272WSep 8 · 17:23J. Dvorak1.67111158123Z. Zahradka2.10981111102WSep 8 · 16:20Z. Zahradka2.50671191J. Dvorak1.5011113113WSep 8 · 15:50J. Hendrych2.0051111872J. Dvorak1.73116911113LSep 8 · 14:50J. Dvorak3.001211941P. Moravec1.3614411113LSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671LSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113
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