TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13105583
Played Sep 9Finished
Milan Dvorak
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118911711119811
Jakub Dvorak
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMilan Dvorak above · Jakub Dvorak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 96 set 5, 8-11
96 points played in total.
H2H Milan Dvorak 9–8 Jakub Dvorak Jakub Dvorak has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dvorak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvorak 1.80 / Dvorak 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dvorak)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13105583
Dvorak1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 31 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it53% 18 of 34
Dvorak1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 71 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back27% 16 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvorak4wins
AwayDvorak6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDvorak leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvorak50%3 of 6
AwayDvorak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvorak6Dvorak4n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S2Dvorak5Dvorak5n = 10split evenly
S3Dvorak4Dvorak6n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S4Dvorak3Dvorak2n = 5Dvorak took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvorakDvorakDvorak − DvorakBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.434.2−1.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvorakDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 337 vs 173 / 35647.5%48.6%160 / 337 vs 173 / 356Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakDvorak 1.80/Dvorak 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 15:55M. Dvorak—118315112J. Dvorak—9111113133
WAug 28 · 17:25M. Dvorak—71311113J. Dvorak—1111771
LJul 31 · 16:25M. Dvorak—511361J. Dvorak—11411113
LMay 14 · 15:20M. Dvorak—119471J. Dvorak—41111113
LMay 11 · 17:25M. Dvorak—11771262J. Dvorak—8111110113
WJan 26 · 19:25M. Dvorak—1111113J. Dvorak—5460
WJan 26 · 17:25M. Dvorak—1111113J. Dvorak—7860
LSep 29 · 14:40M. Dvorak—6550J. Dvorak—1111113
LSep 29 · 14:40M. Dvorak—6550J. Dvorak—1111113
WSep 22 · 16:50M. Dvorak—1115113J. Dvorak—41350
M. Dvorak10
LSep 9 · 16:55M. Beran1.6711118123M. Dvorak2.108611101LSep 9 · 16:25D. Sykora1.83111211113M. Dvorak1.83814881WSep 9 · 15:25M. Dvorak1.801111810113J. Dvorak1.9197111272LSep 4 · 18:32J. Melichar1.871111113M. Dvorak1.839740WSep 4 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.0031080M. Dvorak1.731112113LSep 4 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83612119113M. Dvorak1.83111091142WSep 4 · 15:25M. Dvorak1.9111913113Z. Zahradka1.806111151WAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752WAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151LAug 31 · 15:55M. Dvorak1.73118315112J. Dvorak2.009111113133
J. Dvorak10
LSep 9 · 17:25J. Dvorak3.0087111182D. Sykora1.36111187113LSep 9 · 15:55M. Beran1.7391111113J. Dvorak2.00115141LSep 9 · 15:25M. Dvorak1.801111810113J. Dvorak1.9197111272WSep 8 · 17:23J. Dvorak1.67111158123Z. Zahradka2.10981111102WSep 8 · 16:20Z. Zahradka2.50671191J. Dvorak1.5011113113WSep 8 · 15:50J. Hendrych2.0051111872J. Dvorak1.73116911113LSep 8 · 14:50J. Dvorak3.001211941P. Moravec1.3614411113LSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671LSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113WAug 31 · 15:55M. Dvorak1.73118315112J. Dvorak2.009111113133
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