TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103383
Played Sep 9Finished
David Sykora
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181214118118––
Milan Dvorak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Dvorak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Sykora above · Milan Dvorak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 83 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Milan Dvorak at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H David Sykora 4–8 Milan Dvorak David Sykora has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:58What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dvorak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Dvorak
Wrong
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sykora 1492 vs Dvorak 1455
Sykora
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sykora 60% vs Dvorak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sykora 50% vs Dvorak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sykora -2 · Dvorak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dvorak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSykora 1.83 / Dvorak 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dvorak)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13103383
Sykora1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Dvorak1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSykora3wins
AwayDvorak7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDvorak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSykora60%3 of 5
AwayDvorak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sykora5Dvorak5n = 10split evenly
S2Sykora5Dvorak5n = 10split evenly
S3Sykora3Dvorak7n = 10Dvorak took 7 of 10
S4Sykora3Dvorak3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSykoraDvorakS − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.037.7−2.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSykoraDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime297 / 556 vs 162 / 33853.4%47.9%297 / 556 vs 162 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakSykora 1.83/Dvorak 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sykora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 29 · 14:20D. Sykora—951141M. Dvorak—11119113
LJun 29 · 14:55D. Sykora—118981M. Dvorak—91111113
LMay 25 · 15:20D. Sykora—8960M. Dvorak—1111113
LApr 20 · 14:20D. Sykora—1148151M. Dvorak—91111173
LApr 15 · 14:20D. Sykora—31491192M. Dvorak—1112116113
LFeb 16 · 17:50D. Sykora—711814102M. Dvorak—1181112123
LFeb 6 · 18:35D. Sykora—51180M. Dvorak—1113113
WFeb 6 · 15:20D. Sykora—11111113M. Dvorak—551171
WDec 10 · 18:35D. Sykora—1111153M. Dvorak—83130
WDec 10 · 15:20D. Sykora—1111113M. Dvorak—4880
D. Sykora10
LSep 9 · 14:55M. Beran1.6741111113D. Sykora2.10119991LSep 9 · 14:30D. Sykora1.4010101171A. Kral2.7512126113WSep 9 · 13:25A. Kral2.757101171D. Sykora1.4011129113WSep 9 · 12:25D. Sykora1.4011811113L. Moravec2.75911751WSep 9 · 10:55P. Chlumsky2.2551111132D. Sykora1.57117711113WSep 8 · 13:20D. Sochor2.10117110D. Sykora1.671311133LSep 8 · 12:50D. Sykora1.9116100A. Langer1.801111123LSep 8 · 11:20D. Sochor2.25113113113D. Sykora1.5781191172LSep 8 · 10:50V. Jr1.611211113D. Sykora2.2010780WSep 7 · 13:23A. Langer1.5791414652D. Sykora2.2511121211113
M. Dvorak10
WSep 9 · 15:25M. Dvorak1.801111810113J. Dvorak1.9197111272LSep 4 · 18:32J. Melichar1.871111113M. Dvorak1.839740WSep 4 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.0031080M. Dvorak1.731112113LSep 4 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83612119113M. Dvorak1.83111091142WSep 4 · 15:25M. Dvorak1.9111913113Z. Zahradka1.806111151WAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752WAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151LAug 31 · 15:55M. Dvorak1.73118315112J. Dvorak2.009111113133LAug 31 · 14:55M. Dvorak1.577880J. Melichar2.251111113LAug 28 · 18:00J. Kulveit1.83511147113M. Dvorak1.83118121182
Upcoming Matches
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