TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101532
Played Sep 9Finished
David Sykora
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119811117115––
Ladislav Moravec
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:48 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeDavid Sykora to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sykora above · Ladislav Moravec below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 73 set 4, 11-5 — our read held David Sykora at 67.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H David Sykora 2–0 Ladislav Moravec Ladislav Moravec has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:48What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sykora
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sykora 1485 vs Moravec 1636
Moravec
Wrong
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sykora 40% vs Moravec 60%
Moravec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sykora 30% vs Moravec 70%
Moravec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sykora +2 · Moravec -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Sykora) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSykora 1.40 / Moravec 2.75
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Sykora)-4.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13101532
Sykora1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 97 of 157
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it82% 70 of 85
Moravec2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 32 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSykora2wins
AwayMoravec0wins
Sykora leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSykoraMoravecS − MBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match34.022.5+11.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSykoraMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 552 vs 109 / 25553.4%42.8%295 / 552 vs 109 / 255Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SykoraSykora 1.40/Moravec 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.9%
Sykora · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sykora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMay 26 · 11:55D. Sykora—1111113L. Moravec—8780
WFeb 14 · 13:20D. Sykora—1311113L. Moravec—11740
D. Sykora10
WSep 9 · 10:55P. Chlumsky2.2551111132D. Sykora1.57117711113WSep 8 · 13:20D. Sochor2.10117110D. Sykora1.671311133LSep 8 · 12:50D. Sykora1.9116100A. Langer1.801111123LSep 8 · 11:20D. Sochor2.25113113113D. Sykora1.5781191172LSep 8 · 10:50V. Jr1.611211113D. Sykora2.2010780WSep 7 · 13:23A. Langer1.5791414652D. Sykora2.2511121211113LSep 7 · 12:20V. Jr1.8091111113D. Sykora1.91111861LSep 7 · 11:50A. Langer1.611411113D. Sykora2.2012490LSep 7 · 10:50D. Sykora1.838860M. Beran1.831111113LAug 27 · 14:05J. Vonasek1.671111113D. Sykora2.106370
L. Moravec10
LSep 9 · 11:25L. Moravec2.0010151491A. Kral1.73121712113LSep 1 · 17:55L. Moravec1.8612812392A. Kral1.7810111011113WSep 1 · 16:50R. Jamrich2.63461191L. Moravec1.4411116113WSep 1 · 15:50L. Moravec2.38611911143A. Kral1.53117118122WSep 1 · 14:20F. Balcar1.838980L. Moravec1.831111113WAug 27 · 14:10L. Moravec1.5411511113B. Budik2.32711791WAug 27 · 12:50B. Budik2.6511139872L. Moravec1.438111111113WAug 27 · 11:50L. Moravec1.83111189113J. Srnka1.8389111192WAug 27 · 10:20J. Sebl2.25461191L. Moravec1.5711119113LAug 25 · 18:30L. Moravec1.9097100J. Hendrych1.801111123
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