TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101577
Played Sep 9Finished
Ladislav Moravec
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
101215171412911––
Adam Kral
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:08 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeAdam Kral to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Moravec above · Adam Kral below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 15-17
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 100 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Adam Kral at 54.9%
100 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Moravec 2–8 Adam Kral Ladislav Moravec has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:08What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kral
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Kral
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1653 vs Kral 1517
Moravec
Wrong
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 80% vs Kral 40%
Moravec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 80% vs Kral 60%
Moravec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec -1 · Kral -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kral) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kral form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 2.00 / Kral 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kral)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13101577
Moravec2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 32 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Kral1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 56 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it67% 37 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec2wins
AwayKral8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKral leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec20%1 of 5
AwayKral80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec5Kral5n = 10split evenly
S2Moravec3Kral7n = 10Kral took 7 of 10
S3Moravec2Kral8n = 10Kral took 8 of 10
S4Moravec1Kral7n = 8Kral took 7 of 8
S5Moravec2Kral1n = 3Moravec took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecKralM − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.243.3−6.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecKralBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 254 vs 406 / 77642.9%52.3%109 / 254 vs 406 / 776Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.440.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KralMoravec 2.00/Kral 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kral · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kral won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 17:55L. Moravec—12812392A. Kral—10111011113
WSep 1 · 15:50L. Moravec—611911143A. Kral—117118122
LAug 4 · 16:00L. Moravec—6111191A. Kral—11613113
LAug 4 · 13:59L. Moravec—6111191A. Kral—11613113
LAug 4 · 11:55L. Moravec—88100A. Kral—1111123
LJul 9 · 16:25L. Moravec—112891A. Kral—71111113
LJun 5 · 13:23L. Moravec—12790A. Kral—1411113
WJun 5 · 12:20L. Moravec—119115113A. Kral—91191182
LApr 23 · 11:55L. Moravec—1166101A. Kral—91111123
LApr 21 · 12:50L. Moravec—1610941A. Kral—141211113
L. Moravec10
LSep 9 · 12:25D. Sykora1.4011811113L. Moravec2.75911751LSep 1 · 17:55L. Moravec1.8612812392A. Kral1.7810111011113WSep 1 · 16:50R. Jamrich2.63461191L. Moravec1.4411116113WSep 1 · 15:50L. Moravec2.38611911143A. Kral1.53117118122WSep 1 · 14:20F. Balcar1.838980L. Moravec1.831111113WAug 27 · 14:10L. Moravec1.5411511113B. Budik2.32711791WAug 27 · 12:50B. Budik2.6511139872L. Moravec1.438111111113WAug 27 · 11:50L. Moravec1.83111189113J. Srnka1.8389111192WAug 27 · 10:20J. Sebl2.25461191L. Moravec1.5711119113LAug 25 · 18:30L. Moravec1.9097100J. Hendrych1.801111123
A. Kral10
WSep 9 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.73119911102A. Kral2.00911116123LSep 4 · 14:35F. Balcar2.25511117113A. Kral1.5711961152WSep 4 · 13:25F. Balcar2.50210111172A. Kral1.50111294113WSep 4 · 12:25A. Kral2.0011111517113M. Filipek1.7348171962LSep 4 · 10:55P. Chlumsky1.80711117113A. Kral1.9111991192LSep 3 · 21:58M. Filipek1.7311911113A. Kral2.00811891WSep 3 · 20:50D. Pasek2.20147791A. Kral1.61121111113LSep 3 · 19:50A. Kral2.10101171192M. Filipek1.67129117113WSep 1 · 17:55L. Moravec1.8612812392A. Kral1.7810111011113LSep 1 · 15:50L. Moravec2.38611911143A. Kral1.53117118122
Upcoming Matches
L. Moravec
Nothing scheduled
A. Kral
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