TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095132
Played Sep 8Finished
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117118––––
David Sykora
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:53 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hejda Jr to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Hejda Jr above · David Sykora below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 59 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vaclav Hejda Jr at 61.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hejda Jr 21–16 David Sykora David Sykora has won 16 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-16 in 37
Jr
Correct
gap of 5 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1566 vs Sykora 1495
Jr
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 60% vs Sykora 20%
Jr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 50% vs Sykora 30%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +2 · Sykora +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sykora form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.61 / Sykora 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Jr)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13095132
Jr1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 57 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it68% 42 of 62
Sykora2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 43 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back33% 21 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back18% 6 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr5wins
AwaySykora5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr57.1%4 of 7
AwaySykora66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr7Sykora3n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S2Jr5Sykora5n = 10split evenly
S3Jr4Sykora6n = 10Sykora took 6 of 10
S4Jr4Sykora3n = 7Jr took 4 of 7
S5Jr1Sykora2n = 3Sykora took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrSykoraJ − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.535.2+2.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrSykoraBasisWin rate · lifetime387 / 791 vs 296 / 55148.9%53.7%387 / 791 vs 296 / 551Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.61/Sykora 2.20
Hit
What we said
61.3%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 12:20V. Jr—91111113D. Sykora—111861
WAug 27 · 11:25V. Jr—1111133D. Sykora—31110
LAug 24 · 17:28V. Jr—113711112D. Sykora—611118133
LAug 24 · 14:20V. Jr—8780D. Sykora—1111113
WAug 10 · 13:50V. Jr—11117113D. Sykora—561181
LAug 10 · 11:20V. Jr—1171181D. Sykora—13117113
LAug 3 · 10:50V. Jr—121171142D. Sykora—1021113113
WJul 23 · 10:55V. Jr—114611113D. Sykora—81111752
WJul 21 · 14:15V. Jr—1111143D. Sykora—77120
LJul 21 · 10:55V. Jr—119561D. Sykora—91111113
V. Jr10
LSep 8 · 11:50A. Langer1.83128124113V. Jr1.831011101182WSep 7 · 13:55M. Beran1.9131111452V. Jr1.80115411113WSep 7 · 12:20V. Jr1.8091111113D. Sykora1.91111861LSep 7 · 11:20V. Jr1.67111166102M. Beran2.10681111123WSep 7 · 10:20V. Jr1.8011116113A. Langer1.91641171LSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391LSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 11:50A. Rek1.501413113V. Jr2.50121180LSep 2 · 10:50V. Jr2.00712571J. Vonasek1.73111011113WSep 1 · 14:35V. Jr2.5011115183A. Rek1.487611161
D. Sykora10
LSep 8 · 11:20D. Sochor2.25113113113D. Sykora1.5781191172WSep 7 · 13:23A. Langer1.5791414652D. Sykora2.2511121211113LSep 7 · 12:20V. Jr1.8091111113D. Sykora1.91111861LSep 7 · 11:50A. Langer1.611411113D. Sykora2.2012490LSep 7 · 10:50D. Sykora1.838860M. Beran1.831111113LAug 27 · 14:05J. Vonasek1.671111113D. Sykora2.106370LAug 27 · 12:55A. Langer1.8391111123D. Sykora1.831176101WAug 27 · 12:25J. Vonasek1.50111191192D. Sykora2.50913112113LAug 27 · 11:25D. Sykora1.8031110V. Jr1.911111133WAug 24 · 17:28D. Sykora1.80611118133V. Jr1.91113711112
Upcoming Matches
V. Jr
Nothing scheduled
D. Sykora
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