TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089612
Played Sep 7Finished
David Sykora
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811611––––
Matej Beran
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Sykora to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingDavid Sykora above · Matej Beran below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 55 set 3, 6-11 — our read held David Sykora at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H David Sykora 2–1 Matej Beran Matej Beran has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:42What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Beran
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sykora 1526 vs Beran 1465
Sykora
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sykora 40% vs Beran 0%
Sykora
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sykora 40% vs Beran 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sykora -2 · Beran -5
Beran
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sykora)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Beran form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSykora 1.83 / Beran 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sykora)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13089612
Sykora1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Beran1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSykora2wins
AwayBeran1wins
Sykora leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sykora2Beran1n = 3Sykora took 2 of 3
S2Sykora3Beran0n = 3Sykora took 3 of 3
S3Sykora1Beran2n = 3Beran took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSykoraBeranS − BBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.733.0+6.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSykoraBeranBasisWin rate · lifetime307 / 567 vs 70 / 15654.1%44.9%307 / 567 vs 70 / 156Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SykoraSykora 1.83/Beran 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sykora · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Beran won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 14 · 13:25D. Sykora—9111091M. Beran—11612113
WJul 13 · 11:20D. Sykora—151110113M. Beran—1391231
WJun 18 · 12:55D. Sykora—1111113M. Beran—8770
D. Sykora10
LSep 7 · 11:50A. Langer1.611411113D. Sykora2.2012490LAug 27 · 14:05J. Vonasek1.671111113D. Sykora2.106370LAug 27 · 12:55A. Langer1.8391111123D. Sykora1.831176101WAug 27 · 12:25J. Vonasek1.50111191192D. Sykora2.50913112113LAug 27 · 11:25D. Sykora1.8031110V. Jr1.911111133WAug 24 · 17:28D. Sykora1.80611118133V. Jr1.91113711112LAug 24 · 16:20D. Sykora1.67541171D. Tichy2.1011114113LAug 24 · 15:20D. Sykora1.44711761J. Cerny2.6311911113WAug 24 · 14:20D. Sykora1.831111113V. Jr1.838780LAug 23 · 18:39M. Sochor1.401111113D. Sykora2.757890
M. Beran10
WSep 7 · 11:20V. Jr1.67111166102M. Beran2.10681111123LSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100LSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113LSep 3 · 15:55M. Beran1.911193111M. Sochor1.8091111133LSep 3 · 14:55M. Beran2.00101181142J. Hrncir1.73129114113LSep 1 · 01:50P. Moravec2.501112113M. Beran1.5061080LAug 31 · 17:18M. Beran1.67711511102D. Tichy2.10117116123WAug 31 · 15:50M. Beran1.61111111113D. Tichy2.20551341LAug 31 · 14:20J. Cerny2.6371111113M. Beran1.44118521WAug 27 · 21:53M. Beran1.7211115113O. Fiklik2.00881181
Upcoming Matches
D. Sykora
Nothing scheduled
M. Beran
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