TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13092845
Played Sep 7Finished
Ales Langer
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91114121412611511
David Sykora
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingAles Langer above · David Sykora below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 105 set 5, 5-11
105 points played in total.
H2H Ales Langer 15–11 David Sykora David Sykora has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Langer beat Sykora 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Langer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sykora form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.57 / Sykora 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Langer)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13092845
Langer1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 72 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it72% 49 of 68
Sykora2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 42 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back33% 21 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back18% 6 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLanger4wins
AwaySykora6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSykora leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanger50%2 of 4
AwaySykora66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer4Sykora6n = 10Sykora took 6 of 10
S2Langer5Sykora5n = 10split evenly
S3Langer5Sykora5n = 10split evenly
S4Langer2Sykora5n = 7Sykora took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLangerSykoraL − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.639.5−1.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerSykoraBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 521 vs 295 / 55048.8%53.6%254 / 521 vs 295 / 550Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerLanger 1.57/Sykora 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sykora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 11:50A. Langer—1411113D. Sykora—12490
WAug 27 · 12:55A. Langer—91111123D. Sykora—1176101
LAug 6 · 08:55A. Langer—4161281D. Sykora—111414113
LAug 3 · 12:20A. Langer—8560D. Sykora—1111113
LJul 19 · 17:30A. Langer—11960D. Sykora—1311113
LJul 19 · 16:50A. Langer—11141041D. Sykora—51612113
LJul 14 · 14:05A. Langer—1111751D. Sykora—81311113
WJul 14 · 11:55A. Langer—3111510113D. Sykora—119131252
WJul 13 · 14:10A. Langer—11614113D. Sykora—6111231
LJul 13 · 12:50A. Langer—711117112D. Sykora—115911133
A. Langer10
LSep 7 · 12:50M. Beran2.001111113A. Langer1.736440WSep 7 · 11:50A. Langer1.611411113D. Sykora2.2012490LSep 7 · 10:20V. Jr1.8011116113A. Langer1.91641171WSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982WSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer2.0011711113O. Fiklik1.73911531LSep 4 · 11:20A. Langer2.258116111D. Hyza1.5711911133LSep 4 · 10:20A. Langer2.5058100M. Brozek1.501111123WSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391WSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 11:20A. Langer2.258240J. Vonasek1.571111113
D. Sykora10
LSep 7 · 12:20V. Jr1.8091111113D. Sykora1.91111861LSep 7 · 11:50A. Langer1.611411113D. Sykora2.2012490LSep 7 · 10:50D. Sykora1.838860M. Beran1.831111113LAug 27 · 14:05J. Vonasek1.671111113D. Sykora2.106370LAug 27 · 12:55A. Langer1.8391111123D. Sykora1.831176101WAug 27 · 12:25J. Vonasek1.50111191192D. Sykora2.50913112113LAug 27 · 11:25D. Sykora1.8031110V. Jr1.911111133WAug 24 · 17:28D. Sykora1.80611118133V. Jr1.91113711112LAug 24 · 16:20D. Sykora1.67541171D. Tichy2.1011114113LAug 24 · 15:20D. Sykora1.44711761J. Cerny2.6311911113
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