TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089608
Played Sep 7Finished
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116114611117––
Ales Langer
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:42 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hejda Jr to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingVaclav Hejda Jr above · Ales Langer below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 67 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Vaclav Hejda Jr at 54.3%
67 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hejda Jr 53–54 Ales Langer Vaclav Hejda Jr has won 53 of their 107 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:42What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
53-54 in 107
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1532 vs Langer 1639
Langer
Wrong
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 20% vs Langer 60%
Langer
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 60% vs Langer 40%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -4 · Langer +2
Jr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.80 / Langer 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jr)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13089608
Jr1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 54 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it68% 40 of 59
Langer1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 69 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back30% 24 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr6wins
AwayLanger4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr83.3%5 of 6
AwayLanger75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr6Langer4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Jr4Langer6n = 10Langer took 6 of 10
S3Jr5Langer5n = 10split evenly
S4Jr5Langer4n = 9Jr took 5 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrLangerJ − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.4−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 791 vs 253 / 51848.6%48.8%384 / 791 vs 253 / 518Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.80/Langer 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 13:19V. Jr—1112391A. Langer—71411113
LSep 2 · 12:20V. Jr—7480A. Langer—1111113
WSep 1 · 11:55V. Jr—131210113A. Langer—11101251
WAug 27 · 14:35V. Jr—11611123A. Langer—8115101
LAug 27 · 11:55V. Jr—711251A. Langer—11911113
WAug 26 · 10:40V. Jr—11811113A. Langer—911881
LAug 26 · 07:55V. Jr—41011101A. Langer—11128123
WAug 25 · 08:55V. Jr—511125113A. Langer—119101192
WAug 14 · 10:35V. Jr—12117113A. Langer—1091191
WAug 14 · 07:55V. Jr—111311133A. Langer—6154111
V. Jr10
LSep 7 · 11:20V. Jr1.67111166102M. Beran2.10681111123LSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391LSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 11:50A. Rek1.501413113V. Jr2.50121180LSep 2 · 10:50V. Jr2.00712571J. Vonasek1.73111011113WSep 1 · 14:35V. Jr2.5011115183A. Rek1.487611161WSep 1 · 13:25V. Jr2.38511714113O. Fiklik1.53117111292WSep 1 · 11:55A. Langer1.8011101251V. Jr1.91131210113WSep 1 · 11:25A. Rek1.50861161V. Jr2.5011118113WAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641
A. Langer10
WSep 7 · 11:50A. Langer1.611411113D. Sykora2.2012490WSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982WSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer2.0011711113O. Fiklik1.73911531LSep 4 · 11:20A. Langer2.258116111D. Hyza1.5711911133LSep 4 · 10:20A. Langer2.5058100M. Brozek1.501111123WSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391WSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 11:20A. Langer2.258240J. Vonasek1.571111113LSep 2 · 10:20A. Langer2.3871181142A. Rek1.53113117113LSep 1 · 11:55A. Langer1.8011101251V. Jr1.91131210113
Upcoming Matches
V. Jr
Nothing scheduled
A. Langer
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