TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089628
Played Sep 7Finished
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911111118116––
David Sykora
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:41 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hejda Jr to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingVaclav Hejda Jr above · David Sykora below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 68 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Vaclav Hejda Jr at 55.1%
68 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hejda Jr 20–16 David Sykora David Sykora has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:41What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-16 in 36
Jr
Correct
gap of 4 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1547 vs Sykora 1500
Jr
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 20% vs Sykora 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 50% vs Sykora 30%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -1 · Sykora -4
Sykora
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sykora form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.80 / Sykora 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Jr)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13089628
Jr1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 54 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it68% 40 of 59
Sykora1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 42 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back33% 21 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back18% 6 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr5wins
AwaySykora5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr62.5%5 of 8
AwaySykoran = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr8Sykora2n = 10Jr took 8 of 10
S2Jr5Sykora5n = 10split evenly
S3Jr3Sykora7n = 10Sykora took 7 of 10
S4Jr4Sykora3n = 7Jr took 4 of 7
S5Jr1Sykora2n = 3Sykora took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrSykoraJ − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.336.0+1.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrSykoraBasisWin rate · lifetime385 / 789 vs 295 / 54948.8%53.7%385 / 789 vs 295 / 549Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.80/Sykora 1.91
Hit
What we said
55.1%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 11:25V. Jr—1111133D. Sykora—31110
LAug 24 · 17:28V. Jr—113711112D. Sykora—611118133
LAug 24 · 14:20V. Jr—8780D. Sykora—1111113
WAug 10 · 13:50V. Jr—11117113D. Sykora—561181
LAug 10 · 11:20V. Jr—1171181D. Sykora—13117113
LAug 3 · 10:50V. Jr—121171142D. Sykora—1021113113
WJul 23 · 10:55V. Jr—114611113D. Sykora—81111752
WJul 21 · 14:15V. Jr—1111143D. Sykora—77120
LJul 21 · 10:55V. Jr—119561D. Sykora—91111113
WJul 20 · 11:20V. Jr—11117113D. Sykora—971171
V. Jr10
LSep 7 · 11:20V. Jr1.67111166102M. Beran2.10681111123WSep 7 · 10:20V. Jr1.8011116113A. Langer1.91641171LSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391LSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 11:50A. Rek1.501413113V. Jr2.50121180LSep 2 · 10:50V. Jr2.00712571J. Vonasek1.73111011113WSep 1 · 14:35V. Jr2.5011115183A. Rek1.487611161WSep 1 · 13:25V. Jr2.38511714113O. Fiklik1.53117111292WSep 1 · 11:55A. Langer1.8011101251V. Jr1.91131210113WSep 1 · 11:25A. Rek1.50861161V. Jr2.5011118113
D. Sykora10
LSep 7 · 11:50A. Langer1.611411113D. Sykora2.2012490LSep 7 · 10:50D. Sykora1.838860M. Beran1.831111113LAug 27 · 14:05J. Vonasek1.671111113D. Sykora2.106370LAug 27 · 12:55A. Langer1.8391111123D. Sykora1.831176101WAug 27 · 12:25J. Vonasek1.50111191192D. Sykora2.50913112113LAug 27 · 11:25D. Sykora1.8031110V. Jr1.911111133WAug 24 · 17:28D. Sykora1.80611118133V. Jr1.91113711112LAug 24 · 16:20D. Sykora1.67541171D. Tichy2.1011114113LAug 24 · 15:20D. Sykora1.44711761J. Cerny2.6311911113WAug 24 · 14:20D. Sykora1.831111113V. Jr1.838780
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