TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101149
Played Sep 9Finished
Petr Chlumsky
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511117117111311
David Sykora
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Chlumsky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Chlumsky above · David Sykora below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 1-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 78 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Petr Chlumsky at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Petr Chlumsky 3–3 David Sykora Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:20What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sykora
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chlumsky 1483 vs Sykora 1474
Chlumsky
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chlumsky 40% vs Sykora 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chlumsky 40% vs Sykora 20%
Chlumsky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chlumsky -1 · Sykora +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sykora) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sykora form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlumsky 2.25 / Sykora 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Sykora)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13101149
Chlumsky2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 15 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Sykora1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 97 of 157
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it82% 70 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeChlumsky3wins
AwaySykora3wins
Level at 3–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChlumskyn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySykora60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlumsky1Sykora5n = 6Sykora took 5 of 6
S2Chlumsky5Sykora1n = 6Chlumsky took 5 of 6
S3Chlumsky4Sykora2n = 6Chlumsky took 4 of 6
S4Chlumsky2Sykora3n = 5Sykora took 3 of 5
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricChlumskySykoraC − SBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match35.833.5+2.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChlumskySykoraBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 302 vs 295 / 55246%53.4%139 / 302 vs 295 / 552Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SykoraChlumsky 2.25/Sykora 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Sykora · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sykora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 8 · 10:35P. Chlumsky—101113123D. Sykora—12311101
LAug 8 · 06:55P. Chlumsky—911581D. Sykora—11711113
LAug 6 · 10:55P. Chlumsky—4117101D. Sykora—11911123
LJul 22 · 11:55P. Chlumsky—681151D. Sykora—11118113
WJul 17 · 09:25P. Chlumsky—1111113D. Sykora—3450
WJul 8 · 11:25P. Chlumsky—81111113D. Sykora—114591
P. Chlumsky10
LSep 9 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.73119911102A. Kral2.00911116123LSep 8 · 09:53J. Srnka1.804111011133P. Chlumsky1.91119127112WSep 8 · 08:55J. Srnka2.2551161192P. Chlumsky1.57117116113LSep 8 · 08:25R. Muller1.611111113P. Chlumsky2.208530LSep 8 · 07:25P. Chlumsky1.839870R. Jamrich1.831111113WSep 4 · 14:04P. Chlumsky1.44111110113M. Filipek2.63891251WSep 4 · 12:55P. Chlumsky1.5091511143M. Filipek2.5011139121LSep 4 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.8391070F. Balcar1.831112113WSep 4 · 10:55P. Chlumsky1.80711117113A. Kral1.9111991192LJul 30 · 09:53P. Chlumsky1.50211871A. Kral2.5011811113
D. Sykora10
WSep 9 · 12:25D. Sykora1.4011811113L. Moravec2.75911751WSep 8 · 13:20D. Sochor2.10117110D. Sykora1.671311133LSep 8 · 12:50D. Sykora1.9116100A. Langer1.801111123LSep 8 · 11:20D. Sochor2.25113113113D. Sykora1.5781191172LSep 8 · 10:50V. Jr1.611211113D. Sykora2.2010780WSep 7 · 13:23A. Langer1.5791414652D. Sykora2.2511121211113LSep 7 · 12:20V. Jr1.8091111113D. Sykora1.91111861LSep 7 · 11:50A. Langer1.611411113D. Sykora2.2012490LSep 7 · 10:50D. Sykora1.838860M. Beran1.831111113LAug 27 · 14:05J. Vonasek1.671111113D. Sykora2.106370
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.