TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095335
Played Sep 8Finished
Petr Chlumsky
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811711––––
Robert Jamrich
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRobert Jamrich to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Chlumsky above · Robert Jamrich below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 57 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Robert Jamrich at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Petr Chlumsky 14–13 Robert Jamrich Robert Jamrich has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:47What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jamrich
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-13 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chlumsky 1464 vs Jamrich 1442
Chlumsky
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chlumsky 60% vs Jamrich 80%
Jamrich
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chlumsky 60% vs Jamrich 40%
Chlumsky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chlumsky +2 · Jamrich +3
Jamrich
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jamrich)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jamrich form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlumsky 1.83 / Jamrich 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jamrich)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13095335
Chlumsky1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Jamrich1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChlumsky3wins
AwayJamrich7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJamrich leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChlumskyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJamrich62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlumsky2Jamrich8n = 10Jamrich took 8 of 10
S2Chlumsky4Jamrich6n = 10Jamrich took 6 of 10
S3Chlumsky4Jamrich6n = 10Jamrich took 6 of 10
S4Chlumsky5Jamrich3n = 8Chlumsky took 5 of 8
S5Chlumsky2Jamrich3n = 5Jamrich took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChlumskyJamrichC − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.443.6−3.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChlumskyJamrichBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 300 vs 135 / 29846%45.3%138 / 300 vs 135 / 298Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JamrichChlumsky 1.83/Jamrich 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jamrich · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jamrich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 07:25P. Chlumsky—9870R. Jamrich—1111113
WJul 22 · 11:25P. Chlumsky—91112113R. Jamrich—1141051
LApr 15 · 07:25P. Chlumsky—6118121R. Jamrich—11811143
LMar 19 · 11:30P. Chlumsky—114121372R. Jamrich—13111011113
LMar 19 · 08:55P. Chlumsky—87111192R. Jamrich—111188113
LMar 17 · 12:55P. Chlumsky—127791R. Jamrich—101111113
LMar 12 · 14:25P. Chlumsky—111185122R. Jamrich—991111143
LMar 11 · 11:55P. Chlumsky—10480R. Jamrich—1211113
WMar 4 · 14:58P. Chlumsky—581211113R. Jamrich—111110762
WMar 4 · 13:55P. Chlumsky—1016811113R. Jamrich—121411382
P. Chlumsky10
LSep 8 · 08:25R. Muller1.611111113P. Chlumsky2.208530WSep 4 · 14:04P. Chlumsky1.44111110113M. Filipek2.63891251WSep 4 · 12:55P. Chlumsky1.5091511143M. Filipek2.5011139121LSep 4 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.8391070F. Balcar1.831112113WSep 4 · 10:55P. Chlumsky1.80711117113A. Kral1.9111991192LJul 30 · 09:53P. Chlumsky1.50211871A. Kral2.5011811113LJul 30 · 09:25P. Chlumsky2.005940P. Moravec1.731111113LJul 30 · 07:55F. Marat2.63611811113P. Chlumsky1.4411711852WJul 30 · 07:25A. Kral2.2511116792P. Chlumsky1.57971111113WJul 27 · 14:05P. Chlumsky1.731311113F. Marat2.0011960
R. Jamrich10
WSep 8 · 07:55J. Srnka1.736990R. Jamrich2.001111113WSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671WSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113WSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 15:25R. Jamrich3.00118751J. Melichar1.3691111113WSep 4 · 18:00Z. Zahradka1.6111911592R. Jamrich2.20711811113LSep 4 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.0031080M. Dvorak1.731112113LSep 4 · 15:55R. Jamrich2.1054111172Z. Zahradka1.67111196113LSep 4 · 14:55R. Jamrich2.75128751J. Melichar1.40101111113LSep 1 · 17:25F. Balcar1.571111113R. Jamrich2.258770
Upcoming Matches
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R. Jamrich
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