TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095235
Played Sep 8Finished
David Sykora
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1116111012––––
Ales Langer
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAles Langer to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sykora above · Ales Langer below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 51 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Ales Langer at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H David Sykora 12–15 Ales Langer David Sykora has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Langer
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-15 in 27
Langer
Correct
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sykora 1469 vs Langer 1601
Langer
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sykora 20% vs Langer 60%
Langer
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sykora 20% vs Langer 50%
Langer
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sykora -2 · Langer +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Langer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sykora form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSykora 1.91 / Langer 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Langer)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13095235
Sykora1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 43 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back33% 21 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back18% 6 of 34
Langer1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 73 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it73% 50 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSykora6wins
AwayLanger4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSykora leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSykora66.7%4 of 6
AwayLanger50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sykora6Langer4n = 10Sykora took 6 of 10
S2Sykora5Langer5n = 10split evenly
S3Sykora5Langer5n = 10split evenly
S4Sykora5Langer2n = 7Sykora took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSykoraLangerS − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.337.7+2.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSykoraLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 552 vs 254 / 52053.4%48.9%295 / 552 vs 254 / 520Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerSykora 1.91/Langer 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 13:23D. Sykora—11121211113A. Langer—91414652
LSep 7 · 11:50D. Sykora—12490A. Langer—1411113
LAug 27 · 12:55D. Sykora—1176101A. Langer—91111123
WAug 6 · 08:55D. Sykora—111414113A. Langer—4161281
WAug 3 · 12:20D. Sykora—1111113A. Langer—8560
WJul 19 · 17:30D. Sykora—1311113A. Langer—11960
WJul 19 · 16:50D. Sykora—51612113A. Langer—11141041
WJul 14 · 14:05D. Sykora—81311113A. Langer—1111751
LJul 14 · 11:55D. Sykora—119131252A. Langer—3111510113
LJul 13 · 14:10D. Sykora—6111231A. Langer—11614113
D. Sykora10
WSep 8 · 13:20D. Sochor2.10117110D. Sykora1.671311133LSep 8 · 11:20D. Sochor2.25113113113D. Sykora1.5781191172LSep 8 · 10:50V. Jr1.611211113D. Sykora2.2010780WSep 7 · 13:23A. Langer1.5791414652D. Sykora2.2511121211113LSep 7 · 12:20V. Jr1.8091111113D. Sykora1.91111861LSep 7 · 11:50A. Langer1.611411113D. Sykora2.2012490LSep 7 · 10:50D. Sykora1.838860M. Beran1.831111113LAug 27 · 14:05J. Vonasek1.671111113D. Sykora2.106370LAug 27 · 12:55A. Langer1.8391111123D. Sykora1.831176101WAug 27 · 12:25J. Vonasek1.50111191192D. Sykora2.50913112113
A. Langer10
WSep 8 · 11:50A. Langer1.83128124113V. Jr1.831011101182WSep 8 · 10:20D. Sochor2.505114111A. Langer1.5011811133LSep 7 · 13:23A. Langer1.5791414652D. Sykora2.2511121211113LSep 7 · 12:50M. Beran2.001111113A. Langer1.736440WSep 7 · 11:50A. Langer1.611411113D. Sykora2.2012490LSep 7 · 10:20V. Jr1.8011116113A. Langer1.91641171WSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982WSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer2.0011711113O. Fiklik1.73911531LSep 4 · 11:20A. Langer2.258116111D. Hyza1.5711911133WAug 27 · 12:55A. Langer1.8391111123D. Sykora1.831176101
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